Ranked picks with source labels.

Model has NYM at 62.7% against a market implying 46.2% — a 16-point gap on the team with the worse record (60-74 vs 67-67) and worse scoring rate (...

Model (57.7%) and market (59%) agree on NYY, and the pitching comparison is clear: Schlittler at 2.16 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 10.99 K/9 versus Sandoval's 4...

Market implies 62.1% on Toronto vs the model's 57.0%; with Cease at a 2.37 ERA, 13.03 K/9 and 1.06 WHIP over 144.1 IP against an unnamed Seattle st...

Model at 57% vs market's 48.4% on STL is a large gap. STL's offense is clearly better (.812 OPS, 4.7 RPG vs .710, 3.2), but the market is pricing t...