Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

MIN at WSN

WSN moneyline leads the current board at 64%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

MINMinnesota Twins36%
WSNWashington Nationals64%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability64%
Market odds+115
Game time
VenueNationals Park · Washington, DC
MIN starterBailey Ober
WSN starterMiles Mikolas
Top pick of 18 on 2026-05-06Open matchup
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-06
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-135
WSNWashington Nationals+115
Pick Probability64%WSN moneyline
MINBailey Ober
WSNMiles Mikolas
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.4
AI Analyst
MIN / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has WSN at 64% vs market's 44.5% — a 19.5-point gap flags major disagreement. Both pitchers show poor ERA (7.20, 6.75) but tiny samples (5.0...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-213
HOUHouston Astros+178
Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline
LADTyler Glasnow
HOULance McCullers Jr.
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-110
SFGSan Francisco Giants-108
Pick Probability59%SDP moneyline
SDPBradgley Rodriguez
SFGAdrian Houser
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets-172
COLColorado Rockies+140
Pick Probability59%NYM moneyline
NYMFreddy Peralta
COLMichael Lorenzen
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context1.8
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+112
SEASeattle Mariners-134
Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline
ATLMartín Pérez
SEABryan Woo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-135
WSNWashington Nationals+115
Pick Probability64%WSN moneyline
MINBailey Ober
WSNMiles Mikolas
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.4
AI Analyst
MIN / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has WSN at 64% vs market's 44.5% — a 19.5-point gap flags major disagreement. Both pitchers show poor ERA (7.20, 6.75) but tiny samples (5.0...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-213
HOUHouston Astros+178
Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline
LADTyler Glasnow
HOULance McCullers Jr.
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-110
SFGSan Francisco Giants-108
Pick Probability59%SDP moneyline
SDPBradgley Rodriguez
SFGAdrian Houser
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets-172
COLColorado Rockies+140
Pick Probability59%NYM moneyline
NYMFreddy Peralta
COLMichael Lorenzen
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context1.8
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+112
SEASeattle Mariners-134
Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline
ATLMartín Pérez
SEABryan Woo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+144
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-174
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
OAKJeffrey Springs
PHIZack Wheeler
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-102
DETDetroit Tigers-115
Pick Probability58%DET moneyline
BOSSonny Gray
DETJack Flaherty
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox-110
LAALos Angeles Angels-108
Pick Probability58%LAA moneyline
CHWNoah Schultz
LAAWalbert Ureña
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+110
MIAMiami Marlins-132
Pick Probability58%MIA moneyline
BALBrandon Young
MIAEury Pérez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+148
CHCChicago Cubs-176
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
CINBrady Singer
CHCColin Rea
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model has CHC 57.5%, market implies 61.4% — modest disagreement favoring Cincinnati value. Singer's 6.75 ERA in limited IP suggests volatility. Mod...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+112
KCRKansas City Royals-135
Pick Probability56%CLE moneyline
CLEJoey Cantillo
KCRCole Ragans
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
CLE / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model predicts 9.24 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.74-run gap flagged correctly. Ragans shows 9.0 ERA in 4.0 IP (extremely small sample), Cantillo 4.91 ER...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+118
TBRTampa Bay Rays-139
Pick Probability54%TBR moneyline
TORPatrick Corbin
TBRShane McClanahan
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Agrees with model

Market implies TBR 55.4%, model has 53.6% — close alignment. McClanahan is elite when healthy, Corbin has been hittable for years. Model projects 8...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-106
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-110
Pick Probability54%STL moneyline
MILBrandon Sproat
STLAndre Pallante
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model at 53.6% aligns with market's 50.7% on STL. Sproat's 21.00 ERA in 3 IP is tiny sample noise but MIL offense leads at .972 OPS. Model total 9....

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+170
NYYNew York Yankees-202
Pick Probability53%TEX moneyline
TEXNathan Eovaldi
NYYWill Warren
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
NYY / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks TEX 53.1% but market has NYY at 64.9% — an 11.8pp disagreement favoring the home side. NYY's 25-11 record and 6.5 RPG offense vs TEX's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-144
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+122
Pick Probability52%PIT moneyline
PITPaul Skenes
ARIMichael Soroka
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model picks PIT at 52% vs market's 56%, reasonable convergence. Skenes' 67.5 ERA in 0.2 IP is unusable noise—flagged total_far_from_market (9.27 vs...

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