Model has WSN at 64% vs market's 44.5% — a 19.5-point gap flags major disagreement. Both pitchers show poor ERA (7.20, 6.75) but tiny samples (5.0 IP, 4.0 IP each over...

Rank#2

May 6, 5:05 PM MDTTEX at NYYTexas Rangers at New York Yankees

AI Analyst PickNYYstandard confidence

Analyst disagrees with base modelTEX / 53%Model pick probability

Model picks TEX 53.1% but market has NYY at 64.9% — an 11.8pp disagreement favoring the home side. NYY's 25-11 record and 6.5 RPG offense vs TEX's 2.4 RPG is stark. Wa...

Rank#3

May 6, 5:40 PM MDTCLE at KCRCleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

AI Analyst PickCLElean confidence

Agrees with modelCLE / 56%Model pick probability

Model predicts 9.24 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.74-run gap flagged correctly. Ragans shows 9.0 ERA in 4.0 IP (extremely small sample), Cantillo 4.91 ERA in 3.67 IP (also t...

Rank#4

May 6, 5:40 PM MDTCIN at CHCCincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

AI Analyst PickCHClean confidence

Agrees with modelCHC / 58%Model pick probability

Model has CHC 57.5%, market implies 61.4% — modest disagreement favoring Cincinnati value. Singer's 6.75 ERA in limited IP suggests volatility. Model total 9.15 vs mar...

Rank#6

May 6, 11:15 AM MDTMIL at STLMilwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

AI Analyst PickSTLlean confidence

Agrees with modelSTL / 54%Model pick probability

Model at 53.6% aligns with market's 50.7% on STL. Sproat's 21.00 ERA in 3 IP is tiny sample noise but MIL offense leads at .972 OPS. Model total 9.19 vs market 8.0 sug...

Rank#7

May 6, 7:40 PM MDTPIT at ARIPittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks

AI Analyst PickPITlean confidence

Agrees with modelPIT / 52%Model pick probability

Model picks PIT at 52% vs market's 56%, reasonable convergence. Skenes' 67.5 ERA in 0.2 IP is unusable noise—flagged total_far_from_market (9.27 vs 7.5) stems from thi...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 4:45 PM MDT

Open

MINMinnesota Twins-135

WSNWashington Nationals+115

Pick Probability64%WSN moneyline

MIN / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has WSN at 64% vs market's 44.5% — a 19.5-point gap flags major disagreement. Both pitchers show poor ERA (7.20, 6.75) but tiny samples (5.0...

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 12:10 PM MDT

Open

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-213

HOUHouston Astros+178

Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline

LADTyler Glasnow

HOULance McCullers Jr.

LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 1:45 PM MDT

Open

SDPSan Diego Padres-110

SFGSan Francisco Giants-108

Pick Probability59%SDP moneyline

SDPBradgley Rodriguez

SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 7:20 PM MDT

Open

NYMNew York Mets-172

COLColorado Rockies+140

Pick Probability59%NYM moneyline

NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 2:10 PM MDT

Open

ATLAtlanta Braves+112

SEASeattle Mariners-134

Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline

SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

OAKOakland Athletics+144

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-174

Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline

PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

BOSBoston Red Sox-102

DETDetroit Tigers-115

Pick Probability58%DET moneyline

DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 2:07 PM MDT

Open

CHWChicago White Sox-110

LAALos Angeles Angels-108

Pick Probability58%LAA moneyline

LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

BALBaltimore Orioles+110

MIAMiami Marlins-132

Pick Probability58%MIA moneyline

MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

CINCincinnati Reds+148

CHCChicago Cubs-176

Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline

CHC / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model has CHC 57.5%, market implies 61.4% — modest disagreement favoring Cincinnati value. Singer's 6.75 ERA in limited IP suggests volatility. Mod...

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

CLECleveland Guardians+112

KCRKansas City Royals-135

Pick Probability56%CLE moneyline

CLE / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model predicts 9.24 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.74-run gap flagged correctly. Ragans shows 9.0 ERA in 4.0 IP (extremely small sample), Cantillo 4.91 ER...

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 11:10 AM MDT

Open

TORToronto Blue Jays+118

TBRTampa Bay Rays-139

Pick Probability54%TBR moneyline

TBR / lean confidence / Agrees with model

Market implies TBR 55.4%, model has 53.6% — close alignment. McClanahan is elite when healthy, Corbin has been hittable for years. Model projects 8...

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 11:15 AM MDT

Open

MILMilwaukee Brewers-106

STLSt. Louis Cardinals-110

Pick Probability54%STL moneyline

STL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model at 53.6% aligns with market's 50.7% on STL. Sproat's 21.00 ERA in 3 IP is tiny sample noise but MIL offense leads at .972 OPS. Model total 9....

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 5:05 PM MDT

Open

TEXTexas Rangers+170

NYYNew York Yankees-202

Pick Probability53%TEX moneyline

NYY / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks TEX 53.1% but market has NYY at 64.9% — an 11.8pp disagreement favoring the home side. NYY's 25-11 record and 6.5 RPG offense vs TEX's...

MLBMoneylineMay 6, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

PITPittsburgh Pirates-144

ARIArizona Diamondbacks+122

Pick Probability52%PIT moneyline

PIT / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model picks PIT at 52% vs market's 56%, reasonable convergence. Skenes' 67.5 ERA in 0.2 IP is unusable noise—flagged total_far_from_market (9.27 vs...