MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-05-11 / 6 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-11
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+145
CLECleveland Guardians-175
Pick Probability63%CLE moneyline
LAABrent Suter
CLEJoey Cantillo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
CLE / pass confidence / Rank 4

Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats. Cantillo has only 3.2 IP over 10 starts (injured/opener role?). Model's 8.61 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.1...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+110
TORToronto Blue Jays-132
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
TBRDrew Rasmussen
TORKevin Gausman
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TOR / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has TOR 57.5% vs market 53.2%. Gausman's 1.50 ERA in 60 IP with 16.5 K/9 is elite. Rasmussen's 3.6 K/9 is concerning but 1.80 ERA holds. Ace...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-140
HOUHouston Astros+120
Pick Probability58%HOU moneyline
SEAGeorge Kirby
HOUPeter Lambert
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
SEA / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has HOU at 57.5% but market implies SEA 56.5% — a 14-point gap flags structural miss. Kirby's 1.50 ERA in 60 IP is elite; Lambert's missing r...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-175
BALBaltimore Orioles+144
Pick Probability55%NYY moneyline
NYYRyan Weathers
BALBrandon Young
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+110
TEXTexas Rangers-132
Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline
ARIMichael Soroka
TEXJakob Junis
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
ARI / pass confidence / Rank 3

Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA in 4.2 IP is absurdly small sample; Soroka has null stats. Model picks the worse-record team against market. Total prediction 9....

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-05-11

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

6 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+145
CLECleveland Guardians-175
Pick Probability63%CLE moneyline
LAABrent Suter
CLEJoey Cantillo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
CLE / pass confidence / Rank 4

Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats. Cantillo has only 3.2 IP over 10 starts (injured/opener role?). Model's 8.61 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.1...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+110
TORToronto Blue Jays-132
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
TBRDrew Rasmussen
TORKevin Gausman
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TOR / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has TOR 57.5% vs market 53.2%. Gausman's 1.50 ERA in 60 IP with 16.5 K/9 is elite. Rasmussen's 3.6 K/9 is concerning but 1.80 ERA holds. Ace...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-140
HOUHouston Astros+120
Pick Probability58%HOU moneyline
SEAGeorge Kirby
HOUPeter Lambert
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
SEA / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has HOU at 57.5% but market implies SEA 56.5% — a 14-point gap flags structural miss. Kirby's 1.50 ERA in 60 IP is elite; Lambert's missing r...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-175
BALBaltimore Orioles+144
Pick Probability55%NYY moneyline
NYYRyan Weathers
BALBrandon Young
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+110
TEXTexas Rangers-132
Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline
ARIMichael Soroka
TEXJakob Junis
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
ARI / pass confidence / Rank 3

Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA in 4.2 IP is absurdly small sample; Soroka has null stats. Model picks the worse-record team against market. Total prediction 9....

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+158
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-189
Pick Probability51%LAD moneyline
SFGTrevor McDonald
LADRoki Sasaki
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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