Sanchez (2.65 ERA, 10.46 K/9 over 149.7 IP) is the clear comparison over Pallante (3.63 ERA, 6.53 K/9), and PHI's 5.5 RPG vs STL's 4.1 supports the market's -163. PHI'...

Rank#2

Aug 11, 7:40 PM MDTTBR at OAKTampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics

AI Analyst PickTBRstandard confidence

Agrees with modelOAK / 53%Model pick probability

Model's 53.3% on TBR looks too tepid versus the market's ~61% implied; the gap in profiles is large (TBR 71-46, .802 OPS vs OAK 47-71, .512 OPS and 3.4 RPG) and Martin...

Rank#3

Aug 11, 5:40 PM MDTCIN at CHWCincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox

AI Analyst PickCHWstandard confidence

Model comparison pendingCHW / 57%Model pick probability

CHW holds edges on both sides: Burke's 3.08 ERA and 10.07 K/9 over 128.7 IP versus Lodolo's 4.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, plus a 100-point OPS gap (.729 to .629). Market at...

Rank#4

Aug 11, 4:40 PM MDTCLE at DETCleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers

AI Analyst PickDETlean confidence

Model comparison pendingDET / 53%Model pick probability

Model offers no side here and the market is near pick'em at -122 (53.8%), so only a slight lean to Detroit at home behind Anderson's 10.43 K/9. On the total, the model...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 8:10 PM MDT

Open

KCRKansas City Royals+230

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-278

Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline

KCRMichael WachaConfirmed

LADBlake SnellConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 5:07 PM MDT

Open

BOSBoston Red Sox+117

TORToronto Blue Jays-135

Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline

BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed

TORDylan CeaseConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

CINCincinnati Reds+137

CHWChicago White Sox-161

Pick Probability57%CHW moneyline

CINNick LodoloConfirmed

CHWSean BurkeConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

CHW / standard confidence / Rank 3

CHW holds edges on both sides: Burke's 3.08 ERA and 10.07 K/9 over 128.7 IP versus Lodolo's 4.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, plus a 100-point OPS gap (.729...

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

COLColorado Rockies+148

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-176

Pick Probability56%ARI moneyline

COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed

ARIMitch BrattConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 7:45 PM MDT

Open

HOUHouston Astros-192

SFGSan Francisco Giants+160

Pick Probability56%SFG moneyline

HOUHunter BrownConfirmed

SFGCarson WhisenhuntConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

SFG moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 5:05 PM MDT

Open

SEASeattle Mariners+116

NYYNew York Yankees-134

Pick Probability56%NYY moneyline

SEABryan WooConfirmed

NYYRyan WeathersConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 5:15 PM MDT

Open

NYMNew York Mets+113

ATLAtlanta Braves-132

Pick Probability55%NYM moneyline

NYMNolan McLeanConfirmed

ATLMartín PérezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 7:38 PM MDT

Open

TEXTexas Rangers-150

LAALos Angeles Angels+128

Pick Probability55%TEX moneyline

TEXCody BradfordConfirmed

LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 4:45 PM MDT

Open

CHCChicago Cubs-181

WSNWashington Nationals+154

Pick Probability53%CHC moneyline

CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed

WSNJake IrvinConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

BALBaltimore Orioles-102

MINMinnesota Twins-115

Pick Probability53%BAL moneyline

BALBrandon YoungConfirmed

MINBailey OberConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 5:45 PM MDT

Open

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-162

STLSt. Louis Cardinals+138

Pick Probability53%PHI moneyline

PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed

STLAndre PallanteConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

PHI / standard confidence / Rank 1

Sanchez (2.65 ERA, 10.46 K/9 over 149.7 IP) is the clear comparison over Pallante (3.63 ERA, 6.53 K/9), and PHI's 5.5 RPG vs STL's 4.1 supports the...

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

MILMilwaukee Brewers-132

SDPSan Diego Padres+112

Pick Probability53%MIL moneyline

MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed

SDPWalker BuehlerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

PITPittsburgh Pirates-110

MIAMiami Marlins-106

Pick Probability53%MIA moneyline

PITPaul SkenesConfirmed

MIAEury PérezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

CLECleveland Guardians+124

DETDetroit Tigers-145

Pick Probability53%DET moneyline

CLETanner BibeeConfirmed

DETDrew AndersonConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

DET / lean confidence / Rank 4

Model offers no side here and the market is near pick'em at -122 (53.8%), so only a slight lean to Detroit at home behind Anderson's 10.43 K/9. On...

MLBMoneylineAug 11, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

TBRTampa Bay Rays-195

OAKOakland Athletics+165

Pick Probability53%OAK moneyline

TBRNick MartinezConfirmed

OAKMason BarnettConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model's 53.3% on TBR looks too tepid versus the market's ~61% implied; the gap in profiles is large (TBR 71-46, .802 OPS vs OAK 47-71, .512 OPS and...