Ranked picks with source labels.

Model picks KCR at 55.2% vs market's 47.4% (COL -116). Both pitchers are mediocre (Feltner 5.73 ERA, Avila 4.95 ERA) but model is fading COL too ha...

Model has DET at 55.2%, market at 59.2% (implied from -145). Modest disagreement favors market. Perkins 6.45 ERA vs Valdez 4.53 ERA supports DET, b...

Model has TBR 54.8%, market implies 60.6%. Both pitchers sub-3.20 ERA qualifies ace_matchup. Hicks small sample (31 IP) but 10.45 K/9 real. Market...

Model has LAD 54.8%, market implies 59.5% — meaningful gap favoring Dodgers more than model does. Yamamoto (2.72 ERA, 0.90 WHIP) vs Tolle (3.32 ERA...