Model (56.2%) sits just under the market's 58.2% implied on HOU, so no side comparison; the mismatch flag is real since CHW has the better record (...

MLBMoneylineSep 30, 12:00 PM MDT

Open

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-114

ATLAtlanta Braves-104

Pick Probability54%ATL moneyline

PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed

ATLTyler MahleConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

ATL / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.62 total is 1.6 runs above the 7.0 market line, hard to justify with Sanchez at 2.91 ERA/10.04 K9 and Truist at a 0.915 park factor plus...

MLBMoneylineSep 30, 6:00 PM MDT

Open

BOSBoston Red Sox+118

NYYNew York Yankees-139

Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline

BOSSonny GrayProbable

NYYMax FriedProbable

Market OddsClosing odds

NYY / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (54.4%) and market (55.8%) essentially agree on NYY, so no comparison to claim. Fried (2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) vs Gray (2.72 ERA) in a 0.933 par...

Sep 30, 5:30 PM MDTNHL / nhl

PITPittsburgh Penguins

PHIPhiladelphia Flyers

MoneylinePHI moneyline

Pick Probability54%

Closing odds-142

finalEV held

MLBMoneylineSep 30, 8:00 PM MDT

Open

CHCChicago Cubs+123

SDPSan Diego Padres-147

Pick Probability52%SDP moneyline