Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

OAK at KCR

KCR moneyline leads the current board at 61%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

OAKOakland Athletics39%
KCRKansas City Royals61%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability61%
Closing odds-185
Game time
VenueKauffman Stadium · Kansas City, MO
OAK starterMason Barnett
KCR starterMichael Wacha
Top pick of 12 on 2026-08-17Open matchup
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Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-08-17
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+155
KCRKansas City Royals-185
Pick Probability61%KCR moneyline
OAKMason BarnettConfirmed
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
KCR / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model (61.3%) and market (64%) both favor KCR; the pitching comparison is real with Wacha at 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 150.7 IP versus Barnett's...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-285
COLColorado Rockies+235
Pick Probability57%LAD moneyline
LADBlake SnellConfirmed
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+220
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-263
Pick Probability57%PHI moneyline
MIAJanson JunkConfirmed
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-121
CINCincinnati Reds+105
Pick Probability57%CIN moneyline
STLAndre PallanteConfirmed
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
STL / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CIN at 55.9% vs market 46% — an 10-point gap on the team with the worse record (59-64) and far worse offense (3.2 RPG, .629 OPS vs STL's...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-114
CINCincinnati Reds-104
Pick Probability56%CIN moneyline
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
CINKent EmanuelConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
STL / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model backs CIN despite a worse record (59-64 vs 63-61) and a large offensive gap (3.2 RPG/.629 OPS vs 5.2/.812) — the offense_defense_mismatch fla...

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11 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+155
KCRKansas City Royals-185
Pick Probability61%KCR moneyline
OAKMason BarnettConfirmed
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
KCR / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model (61.3%) and market (64%) both favor KCR; the pitching comparison is real with Wacha at 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 150.7 IP versus Barnett's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-285
COLColorado Rockies+235
Pick Probability57%LAD moneyline
LADBlake SnellConfirmed
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+220
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-263
Pick Probability57%PHI moneyline
MIAJanson JunkConfirmed
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-121
CINCincinnati Reds+105
Pick Probability57%CIN moneyline
STLAndre PallanteConfirmed
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
STL / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CIN at 55.9% vs market 46% — an 10-point gap on the team with the worse record (59-64) and far worse offense (3.2 RPG, .629 OPS vs STL's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-114
CINCincinnati Reds-104
Pick Probability56%CIN moneyline
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
CINKent EmanuelConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
STL / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model backs CIN despite a worse record (59-64 vs 63-61) and a large offensive gap (3.2 RPG/.629 OPS vs 5.2/.812) — the offense_defense_mismatch fla...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+103
NYMNew York Mets-120
Pick Probability56%NYM moneyline
SDPWalker BuehlerConfirmed
NYMNolan McLeanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+116
BOSBoston Red Sox-132
Pick Probability56%BOS moneyline
ARIMitch BrattConfirmed
BOSAlec GamboaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-132
MINMinnesota Twins+112
Pick Probability56%ATL moneyline
ATLMartín PérezConfirmed
MINBailey OberConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+140
TBRTampa Bay Rays-164
Pick Probability55%BAL moneyline
BALBrandon YoungConfirmed
TBRShane McClanahanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes BAL despite a worse record (61-63 vs 74-49) and a large OPS gap (.662 vs .802) — the offense/defense mismatch flag reads as a red flag...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+140
CHCChicago Cubs-162
Pick Probability54%CHC moneyline
CHWLuis CastilloConfirmed
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
CHC / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market has CHC at 60.3% while the model sits at 53.7%; Imanaga's 3.74 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 137.1 IP at a 0.951 park factor supports the market's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers-110
PITPittsburgh Pirates-105
Pick Probability53%DET moneyline
DETFramber ValdezConfirmed
PITCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
DET / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Near coin flip: market implies 49.3% home, model 52.8% DET, and both starters are mid-rotation (Mlodzinski 3.79 ERA/1.40 WHIP, Valdez 4.26 ERA/1.39...

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