MLB moneyline board.

Market at 65.9% on PHI vs model 57.5%; I side with the market here. Luzardo (3.36 ERA, 10.8 K/9, 1.16 WHIP over 136.7 IP) is a clear step up on Bieber (5.11 ERA, 1.68...

Model (57.3%) and market (55.0%) essentially agree on Texas at home, and Rocker's 108 IP sample is more trustworthy than Povich's 25.3 IP. The model's 9.15-run total s...

Model (71.6%) and market (69.8%) essentially agree on Milwaukee, so there's no independent comparison on the side, but Misiorowski's 1.63 ERA, 0.73 WHIP and 13.8 K/9 a...

CHW is the better team on paper (60-56, .729 OPS vs CLE's .600) and sits at home yet is priced as a small dog at +104. Martin (4.13 ERA) vs Cantillo (3.87 ERA, 9.78 K/...

Model leans NYM at 52.4% against a market implying 56.6% for PIT, a gap I'd fade. Jones has the better peripherals (1.11 WHIP, 9.96 K/9) versus Manaea's 1.38 WHIP, and...

Model has SFG at 58.2% against a market implying 46.9%, an 11-point gap while picking the team with the worse record (49-68 vs 57-60) and far weaker scoring (4.3 vs 8....