MLB moneyline board.

Model (67.9%) and market (67.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so no independent comparison — but Wheeler's 2.89 ERA, 10.69 K/9 and 1.00 WHIP over 115.3 IP against Gibson'...

Model (55.9%) and market (54.8%) essentially agree on Tampa Bay, and TBR's 75-49 record with 5.6 RPG and .802 OPS backs it against a 61-65 Toronto club scoring 4.1. Ma...

Model's 53% on SEA fights a market implying 59% MIL while picking the team with the worse record (59-66 vs 77-48) and worse OPS (.793 vs .972) — the mismatch flag read...

Model's ARI lean (54.4%) contradicts the market's 61.1% home implied and the underlying inputs: ARI carries a .564 OPS and worse record, and Kelly's 5.11 ERA/1.48 WHIP...

Rodón (3.30 ERA, 10.1 K/9, 1.25 WHIP) is the better arm over Baz (4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP), and NYY holds the record comparison at 69-55 with a .692 OPS, so I lean away fr...

Model (55.9%) sits slightly under market's implied 58.6% on TEX, so no price comparison. Quantrill's 70.7 IP at 3.44 ERA and 1.20 WHIP is the only established starter...

Model favors NYM (51.6%) over market (49.1%) while picking the worse-record, worse-offense side per the mismatch flag. SDP is 67-59 vs 57-69, and Ray's 131.7 IP at 3.2...