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MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
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Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has SDP at 59.4% versus a pick'em market (implied 50.2%) — a 9-point gap I can't justify given San Diego's .547 OPS and 4.6 RPG against Pitts...
Home starter is TBD with fallback stats (2.38 ERA over 72 IP belongs to a substitute profile), so the 62.8% model number is built on an unreliable...
Model has OAK at 54% against a market implying 41% — a 13-point gap I can't justify. Springs carries a 6.02 ERA and 1.48 WHIP versus Matthews at 5....
Model's 53.8% on Detroit sits ~9 points above the market's 45.2% and is hard to justify: Rasmussen (3.01 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 9.25 K/9) clearly outclass...
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Ranked MLB analyst slate
Chicago has the better record (75-56 vs 69-62), the better OPS (.694 vs .564), and the better starter: Gausman's 4.58 ERA/1.30 WHIP with 8.98 K/9 tops Kelly's 5.37 ERA...
Model's 59.4% on SFG versus market's 40.5% is a 19-point gap built on a fallback starter (TBD, 5.7 IP sample) and a team scoring 3.1 RPG with a .388 OPS. Burns brings...
Model has OAK at 54% against a market implying 41% — a 13-point gap I can't justify. Springs carries a 6.02 ERA and 1.48 WHIP versus Matthews at 5.12/1.33, and Minneso...
Model's 53.8% on Detroit sits ~9 points above the market's 45.2% and is hard to justify: Rasmussen (3.01 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 9.25 K/9) clearly outclasses Valdez (4.35 ERA,...
Wheeler (2.92 ERA, 10.77 K/9) edges Gilbert (3.35, 9.4) and PHI is 73-58 vs 62-69, so the model's slight SEA tilt looks like park-factor overweighting. PHI's listed 6....
Both starters sit under 3.50 ERA with identical 1.18 WHIPs, so the model's 8.83-run total looks high against a 7.5 market line in a neutral park (PF 1.01). Boston's 71...
Model has SDP at 59.4% versus a pick'em market (implied 50.2%) — a 9-point gap I can't justify given San Diego's .547 OPS and 4.6 RPG against Pittsburgh's .710 and 4.9...
Home starter is TBD with fallback stats (2.38 ERA over 72 IP belongs to a substitute profile), so the 62.8% model number is built on an unreliable input versus market'...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has SDP at 59.4% versus a pick'em market (implied 50.2%) — a 9-point gap I can't justify given San Diego's .547 OPS and 4.6 RPG against Pitts...
Home starter is TBD with fallback stats (2.38 ERA over 72 IP belongs to a substitute profile), so the 62.8% model number is built on an unreliable...
Model has OAK at 54% against a market implying 41% — a 13-point gap I can't justify. Springs carries a 6.02 ERA and 1.48 WHIP versus Matthews at 5....
Model's 53.8% on Detroit sits ~9 points above the market's 45.2% and is hard to justify: Rasmussen (3.01 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 9.25 K/9) clearly outclass...
Model's 59.4% on SFG versus market's 40.5% is a 19-point gap built on a fallback starter (TBD, 5.7 IP sample) and a team scoring 3.1 RPG with a .38...
Chicago has the better record (75-56 vs 69-62), the better OPS (.694 vs .564), and the better starter: Gausman's 4.58 ERA/1.30 WHIP with 8.98 K/9 t...
Wheeler (2.92 ERA, 10.77 K/9) edges Gilbert (3.35, 9.4) and PHI is 73-58 vs 62-69, so the model's slight SEA tilt looks like park-factor overweight...
Both starters sit under 3.50 ERA with identical 1.18 WHIPs, so the model's 8.83-run total looks high against a 7.5 market line in a neutral park (P...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.