MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-14 / 10 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-14
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+150
CLECleveland Guardians-177
Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline
CHWSean NewcombConfirmed
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total7.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CLE / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

No market odds available, so this is a context-only read. Williams' 12.14 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP plus home field support CLE, but Newcomb's 2.77 ERA and...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+114
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-134
Pick Probability58%ARI moneyline
MIASandy AlcantaraConfirmed
ARICorbin BurnesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIA / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Burnes shows 10 starts but only 3.0 IP logged, so his 0.00 ERA carries no weight and his workload is likely limited. Miami's .774 OPS and 5.4 RPG d...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-130
MINMinnesota Twins+110
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
MINDean KremerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+128
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-152
Pick Probability56%STL moneyline
SFGLanden RouppConfirmed
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
STL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

No fresh market odds, so this is a no-context read. STL's 74-76 record and 5.2 RPG with a .812 OPS outclass SFG's listed .388 OPS, and home field a...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-220
CINCincinnati Reds+180
Pick Probability54%LAD moneyline
LADTarik SkubalConfirmed
CINNick LodoloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-14
Rank#1
SDP at COLSan Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
AI Analyst PickSDPstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCOL / 51%Model pick probability

Model's 50.9% on COL sits ~14 points above the market's 37.2% while picking the team with the worse record (55-94 vs 81-68) and a starter at 5.30 ERA against Mize's 3....

Rank#2
SFG at STLSan Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analyst PickSTLstandard confidence
Agrees with modelSTL / 56%Model pick probability

No fresh market odds, so this is a no-context read. STL's 74-76 record and 5.2 RPG with a .812 OPS outclass SFG's listed .388 OPS, and home field at Busch (PF 1.034) s...

Rank#3
DET at TORDetroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays
AI Analyst PickTORlean confidence
Agrees with modelTOR / 53%Model pick probability

Model 53.3% and market 54.1% agree on Toronto; no comparison either way. Melton's 2.42 ERA and 1.05 WHIP outclass Soriano's 3.48/1.28, which offsets the home compariso...

Rank#4
BAL at NYMBaltimore Orioles at New York Mets
AI Analyst PickNYMlean confidence
Agrees with modelNYM / 53%Model pick probability

Model 53.3% and market 52.8% align on NYM, so no comparison. Tong has only 15.0 IP with a 4.80 ERA and 1.33 WHIP; Young brings 140.2 IP at 3.71. Baltimore's 3.7 RPG an...

Rank#5
MIA at ARIMiami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
AI Analyst PickMIAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelARI / 58%Model pick probability

Burnes shows 10 starts but only 3.0 IP logged, so his 0.00 ERA carries no weight and his workload is likely limited. Miami's .774 OPS and 5.4 RPG dwarf Arizona's .564...

Rank#6
CHW at CLEChicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
AI Analyst PickCLElean confidence
Agrees with modelCLE / 61%Model pick probability

No market odds available, so this is a context-only read. Williams' 12.14 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP plus home field support CLE, but Newcomb's 2.77 ERA and 1.14 WHIP make this...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

10 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+150
CLECleveland Guardians-177
Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline
CHWSean NewcombConfirmed
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total7.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CLE / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

No market odds available, so this is a context-only read. Williams' 12.14 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP plus home field support CLE, but Newcomb's 2.77 ERA and...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+114
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-134
Pick Probability58%ARI moneyline
MIASandy AlcantaraConfirmed
ARICorbin BurnesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIA / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Burnes shows 10 starts but only 3.0 IP logged, so his 0.00 ERA carries no weight and his workload is likely limited. Miami's .774 OPS and 5.4 RPG d...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-130
MINMinnesota Twins+110
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
MINDean KremerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+128
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-152
Pick Probability56%STL moneyline
SFGLanden RouppConfirmed
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
STL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

No fresh market odds, so this is a no-context read. STL's 74-76 record and 5.2 RPG with a .812 OPS outclass SFG's listed .388 OPS, and home field a...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-220
CINCincinnati Reds+180
Pick Probability54%LAD moneyline
LADTarik SkubalConfirmed
CINNick LodoloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+120
TORToronto Blue Jays-144
Pick Probability53%TOR moneyline
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
TORJosé SorianoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
TOR / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model 53.3% and market 54.1% agree on Toronto; no comparison either way. Melton's 2.42 ERA and 1.05 WHIP outclass Soriano's 3.48/1.28, which offset...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+121
NYMNew York Mets-145
Pick Probability53%NYM moneyline
BALBrandon YoungConfirmed
NYMJonah TongConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.3
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model 53.3% and market 52.8% align on NYM, so no comparison. Tong has only 15.0 IP with a 4.80 ERA and 1.33 WHIP; Young brings 140.2 IP at 3.71. Ba...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+115
CHCChicago Cubs-136
Pick Probability53%CHC moneyline
ATLReynaldo LópezConfirmed
CHCDavid PetersonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-108
LAALos Angeles Angels-110
Pick Probability52%LAA moneyline
SEAKade AndersonConfirmed
LAAReid DetmersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-218
COLColorado Rockies+178
Pick Probability51%COL moneyline
SDPCasey MizeConfirmed
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.0
Projected Total12.7
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 50.9% on COL sits ~14 points above the market's 37.2% while picking the team with the worse record (55-94 vs 81-68) and a starter at 5.30 E...

sharps.gg