Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+160
TBRTampa Bay Rays-192
Pick Probability63%TBR moneyline
NYMRobert StockConfirmed
TBRIan SeymourConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (62.5%) and market (61.4%) agree on Tampa Bay, and the pitching comparison is clear: Seymour has 107 IP with a 1.15 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 versus...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+170
ATLAtlanta Braves-203
Pick Probability60%ATL moneyline
SFGAnthony MolinaConfirmed
ATLBryce ElderConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market (-188, 64%) is slightly stronger on ATL than the model's 60.4%, and the 82-55 Braves at home behind Elder (3.95 ERA, 1.24 WHIP over 143.2 IP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-123
LAALos Angeles Angels+105
Pick Probability60%LAA moneyline
NYYElmer RodríguezProbable
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model at 60.4% on a 52-85 LAA club versus a 78-59 NYY team scoring 5.7 R/G is a 17-point gap from the market's 43.6%, and it picks the worse record...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-112
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-105
Pick Probability60%ARI moneyline
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
ARIBrandon PfaadtProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has ARI at 57.6% vs market's 47.7% implied — a ~10pt gap built on a fallback profile for a TBD Arizona starter, so the 5.08 ERA/1.48 WHIP lin...

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+110
MINMinnesota Twins-127
Pick Probability58%MIN moneyline
DETJackson JobeConfirmed
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+185
TEXTexas Rangers-218
Pick Probability58%TEX moneyline
OAKGage JumpConfirmed
TEXJacob deGromConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
TEX / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market implies 66.8% for TEX while the model sits at 57.6% — a 9-point gap I side with the market on. deGrom's 10.98 K/9 and 1.18 WHIP against an O...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles-124
COLColorado Rockies+105
Pick Probability57%BAL moneyline
BALCade PovichConfirmed
COLTanner GordonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.0
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+133
BOSBoston Red Sox-157
Pick Probability54%BOS moneyline
SEAGeorge KirbyConfirmed
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+114
HOUHouston Astros-132
Pick Probability54%HOU moneyline
CHWAnthony KayConfirmed
HOUPeter LambertConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-108
CHCChicago Cubs-108
Pick Probability53%CHC moneyline
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
CHCClay HolmesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins-114
WSNWashington Nationals-103
Pick Probability51%WSN moneyline
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
WSNWill DionConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Essentially a pick'em: model has WSN at 50.6%, market implies 48.3%, so no meaningful comparison either way. WSN's 4.4 RPG and .820 OPS comparison...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-151
CINCincinnati Reds+130
Pick Probability50%CIN moneyline
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
CINBrady SingerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CIN at 50.2% while the market implies 42.4%, and the starter gap favors San Diego: King at 3.23 ERA / 1.17 WHIP over 156 IP versus Singer...

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