KCR at DET

Market implies 72% DET vs model 64%. Skubal (2.83 ERA, 10.67 K/9 in 82.7 IP) is an ace but Way has just 22.3 IP this season—small sample obscures t...

Model has MIL at 60.5%, market implies 69.0% — an 8.5pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. COL's road offense (.531 OPS) is truly dismal, but mode...

Model (SEA 54.4%) aligns with market (SEA 52.1%). Miller's 2.27 ERA in 63 IP is legitimate vs Gore's 4.8. SEA offense underperforms but pitching ga...

Market favors PHI at 56%, model has NYY at 54.3%. Luzardo's 3.43 ERA and 11.16 K/9 in 115 IP is legitimate; Warren's 4.00 ERA over 99 IP is league-...

Market has TBR at 56.8% vs model's CLE lean at 54.3%. Model underweights McClanahan's quality (3.16 ERA, 8.41 K/9 in 91 IP) vs Cantillo's shakier p...

Model likes CIN 54.3% but market has STL -159 (60.2% implied). Market disagrees by 6 ppts and I defer to Pinnacle here. Lowder's 5.75 ERA in 72 IP...

Model likes WSN at 54% but market has ARI favored at 53.3%. Rodriguez (2.62 ERA, 116.7 IP) vs Palmquist (8.74 ERA, 11.3 IP) is a massive starter mi...