MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-07-24 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-07-24
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+216
DETDetroit Tigers-265
Pick Probability64%DET moneyline
KCRBeck WayConfirmed
DETTarik SkubalConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
DET / pass confidence / Rank 2

Market implies 72% DET vs model 64%. Skubal (2.83 ERA, 10.67 K/9 in 82.7 IP) is an ace but Way has just 22.3 IP this season—small sample obscures t...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+230
MILMilwaukee Brewers-279
Pick Probability61%MIL moneyline
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
MILShane DrohanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model has MIL at 60.5%, market implies 69.0% — an 8.5pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. COL's road offense (.531 OPS) is truly dismal, but mode...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+134
SFGSan Francisco Giants-159
Pick Probability59%SFG moneyline
LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
SFGLogan WebbConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
SFG moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+108
BOSBoston Red Sox-126
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
TORTrey YesavageConfirmed
BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+116
MINMinnesota Twins-138
Pick Probability55%MIN moneyline
OAKJacob LopezConfirmed
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-07-24
Rank#1
ARI at WSNArizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals
AI Analyst PickARIstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelWSN / 54%Model pick probability

Model likes WSN at 54% but market has ARI favored at 53.3%. Rodriguez (2.62 ERA, 116.7 IP) vs Palmquist (8.74 ERA, 11.3 IP) is a massive starter mismatch the model und...

Rank#3
SEA at TEXSeattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Agrees with modelSEA / 54%Model pick probability

Model (SEA 54.4%) aligns with market (SEA 52.1%). Miller's 2.27 ERA in 63 IP is legitimate vs Gore's 4.8. SEA offense underperforms but pitching gap favors away side....

Rank#4
CLE at TBRCleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
AI Analyst PickTBRlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCLE / 54%Model pick probability

Market has TBR at 56.8% vs model's CLE lean at 54.3%. Model underweights McClanahan's quality (3.16 ERA, 8.41 K/9 in 91 IP) vs Cantillo's shakier profile (3.74 ERA, 1....

Rank#5
NYY at PHINew York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analyst PickPHIlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelNYY / 54%Model pick probability

Market favors PHI at 56%, model has NYY at 54.3%. Luzardo's 3.43 ERA and 11.16 K/9 in 115 IP is legitimate; Warren's 4.00 ERA over 99 IP is league-average. Citizens Ba...

Rank#6
COL at MILColorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers
AI Analyst PickMILlean confidence
Agrees with modelMIL / 61%Model pick probability

Model has MIL at 60.5%, market implies 69.0% — an 8.5pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. COL's road offense (.531 OPS) is truly dismal, but model underweights MIL's...

Rank#7
CIN at STLCincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analyst PickSTLlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCIN / 54%Model pick probability

Model likes CIN 54.3% but market has STL -159 (60.2% implied). Market disagrees by 6 ppts and I defer to Pinnacle here. Lowder's 5.75 ERA in 72 IP is poor; May's 4.78...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+216
DETDetroit Tigers-265
Pick Probability64%DET moneyline
KCRBeck WayConfirmed
DETTarik SkubalConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
DET / pass confidence / Rank 2

Market implies 72% DET vs model 64%. Skubal (2.83 ERA, 10.67 K/9 in 82.7 IP) is an ace but Way has just 22.3 IP this season—small sample obscures t...

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+230
MILMilwaukee Brewers-279
Pick Probability61%MIL moneyline
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
MILShane DrohanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model has MIL at 60.5%, market implies 69.0% — an 8.5pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. COL's road offense (.531 OPS) is truly dismal, but mode...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+134
SFGSan Francisco Giants-159
Pick Probability59%SFG moneyline
LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
SFGLogan WebbConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
SFG moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+108
BOSBoston Red Sox-126
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
TORTrey YesavageConfirmed
BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+116
MINMinnesota Twins-138
Pick Probability55%MIN moneyline
OAKJacob LopezConfirmed
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-127
NYMNew York Mets+106
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
LADRoki SasakiConfirmed
NYMSean ManaeaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+114
BALBaltimore Orioles-134
Pick Probability55%BAL moneyline
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
BALTrevor RogersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+102
MIAMiami Marlins-122
Pick Probability55%MIA moneyline
SDPGermán MárquezConfirmed
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+114
CHWChicago White Sox-134
Pick Probability55%CHW moneyline
HOUSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-116
TEXTexas Rangers-103
Pick Probability54%SEA moneyline
SEABryce MillerConfirmed
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (SEA 54.4%) aligns with market (SEA 52.1%). Miller's 2.27 ERA in 63 IP is legitimate vs Gore's 4.8. SEA offense underperforms but pitching ga...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees+118
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-138
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
NYYCam SchlittlerConfirmed
PHIJesús LuzardoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market favors PHI at 56%, model has NYY at 54.3%. Luzardo's 3.43 ERA and 11.16 K/9 in 115 IP is legitimate; Warren's 4.00 ERA over 99 IP is league-...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+118
TBRTampa Bay Rays-140
Pick Probability54%CLE moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
TBRShane McClanahanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has TBR at 56.8% vs model's CLE lean at 54.3%. Model underweights McClanahan's quality (3.16 ERA, 8.41 K/9 in 91 IP) vs Cantillo's shakier p...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+124
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-145
Pick Probability54%CIN moneyline
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
STLDustin MayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes CIN 54.3% but market has STL -159 (60.2% implied). Market disagrees by 6 ppts and I defer to Pinnacle here. Lowder's 5.75 ERA in 72 IP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-125
WSNWashington Nationals+105
Pick Probability54%WSN moneyline
ARIEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
WSNCarson PalmquistConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
ARI / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes WSN at 54% but market has ARI favored at 53.3%. Rodriguez (2.62 ERA, 116.7 IP) vs Palmquist (8.74 ERA, 11.3 IP) is a massive starter mi...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-110
PITPittsburgh Pirates-108
Pick Probability52%PIT moneyline
CHCMatthew BoydConfirmed
PITJared JonesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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