MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-07-25 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-07-25
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+195
MILMilwaukee Brewers-236
Pick Probability62%MIL moneyline
COLRyan FeltnerConfirmed
MILRobert GasserConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model has MIL 61.9%, market implies 67.3% - market is more bullish. Both pitchers mediocre (Gasser 4.91 ERA, Feltner 5.48 ERA) but American Family...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+138
DETDetroit Tigers-164
Pick Probability61%DET moneyline
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
DETCasey MizeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
DET / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model and market align on DET (model 61.4%, Pinnacle 62.3%). Mize's 2.79 ERA over 80.7 IP is legit, but KCR's offense is MLB-worst (.518 OPS). Mode...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+120
MIAMiami Marlins-144
Pick Probability59%MIA moneyline
SDPRandy VásquezConfirmed
MIAEury PérezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+125
MINMinnesota Twins-148
Pick Probability59%MIN moneyline
OAKBrady BassoConfirmed
MINKendry RojasConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIN / pass confidence / Rank 8

Home pitcher is TBD with fallback stats (5.21 ERA, 76 IP); model's moneyline pick (MIN 58.5%) vs market (60.0%) shows thin comparison on unreliable...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+104
PITPittsburgh Pirates-124
Pick Probability55%PIT moneyline
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
PITPaul SkenesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
PIT / pass confidence / Rank 9

Model total of 9.12 vs market 7.5 is a 1.6-run gap—the largest structural red flag. PNC Park is neutral (PF 1.06), both pitchers solid (Skenes 3.43...

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-07-25
Rank#1
LAD at NYMLos Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
AI Analyst PickLADstandard confidence
Agrees with modelLAD / 55%Model pick probability

Model has LAD at 54.9%, market implies 61% — meaningful gap. Yamamoto (2.78 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) vs McLean (3.34 ERA) favors LAD. Ace matchup flag set but model total of 8....

Rank#2
KCR at DETKansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
AI Analyst PickDETlean confidence
Agrees with modelDET / 61%Model pick probability

Model and market align on DET (model 61.4%, Pinnacle 62.3%). Mize's 2.79 ERA over 80.7 IP is legit, but KCR's offense is MLB-worst (.518 OPS). Model total 8.87 vs mark...

Rank#3
CIN at STLCincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analyst PickCINlean confidence
Agrees with modelCIN / 54%Model pick probability

Model picks CIN at 54.4% vs market 49.1%, a modest 5.3pp comparison. Greene's 14.33 K/9 in only 16.3 IP is elite strikeout stuff but tiny sample with 6.06 ERA suggests...

Rank#4
SEA at TEXSeattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelTEX / 55%Model pick probability

Model has TEX 54.9% vs market's 48.6% for SEA. SEA's .793 OPS with 3.8 RPG is odd (strong contact, weak scoring). Woo/Eovaldi both ~4.2 ERA; Woo's 1.09 WHIP edges 1.21...

Rank#5
COL at MILColorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers
AI Analyst PickMILlean confidence
Agrees with modelMIL / 62%Model pick probability

Model has MIL 61.9%, market implies 67.3% - market is more bullish. Both pitchers mediocre (Gasser 4.91 ERA, Feltner 5.48 ERA) but American Family Field runs at 0.950...

Rank#6
CLE at TBRCleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
AI Analyst PickCLElean confidence
Agrees with modelCLE / 54%Model pick probability

Model favors CLE 54.4% vs market 44.6%—a 9.8pp gap flagged as large disagreement. CLE offense is weak (.600 OPS, 4.4 RPG) yet model picks them on road, triggering offe...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+195
MILMilwaukee Brewers-236
Pick Probability62%MIL moneyline
COLRyan FeltnerConfirmed
MILRobert GasserConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model has MIL 61.9%, market implies 67.3% - market is more bullish. Both pitchers mediocre (Gasser 4.91 ERA, Feltner 5.48 ERA) but American Family...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+138
DETDetroit Tigers-164
Pick Probability61%DET moneyline
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
DETCasey MizeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
DET / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model and market align on DET (model 61.4%, Pinnacle 62.3%). Mize's 2.79 ERA over 80.7 IP is legit, but KCR's offense is MLB-worst (.518 OPS). Mode...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+120
MIAMiami Marlins-144
Pick Probability59%MIA moneyline
SDPRandy VásquezConfirmed
MIAEury PérezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+125
MINMinnesota Twins-148
Pick Probability59%MIN moneyline
OAKBrady BassoConfirmed
MINKendry RojasConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIN / pass confidence / Rank 8

Home pitcher is TBD with fallback stats (5.21 ERA, 76 IP); model's moneyline pick (MIN 58.5%) vs market (60.0%) shows thin comparison on unreliable...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+104
PITPittsburgh Pirates-124
Pick Probability55%PIT moneyline
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
PITPaul SkenesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
PIT / pass confidence / Rank 9

Model total of 9.12 vs market 7.5 is a 1.6-run gap—the largest structural red flag. PNC Park is neutral (PF 1.06), both pitchers solid (Skenes 3.43...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-110
TEXTexas Rangers-108
Pick Probability55%TEX moneyline
SEABryan WooConfirmed
TEXNathan EovaldiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has TEX 54.9% vs market's 48.6% for SEA. SEA's .793 OPS with 3.8 RPG is odd (strong contact, weak scoring). Woo/Eovaldi both ~4.2 ERA; Woo's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-159
NYMNew York Mets+133
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
LADYoshinobu YamamotoConfirmed
NYMNolan McLeanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has LAD at 54.9%, market implies 61% — meaningful gap. Yamamoto (2.78 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) vs McLean (3.34 ERA) favors LAD. Ace matchup flag set b...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+116
WSNWashington Nationals-137
Pick Probability55%WSN moneyline
ARIMitch BrattConfirmed
WSNFoster GriffinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+100
TBRTampa Bay Rays-118
Pick Probability54%CLE moneyline
CLETanner BibeeConfirmed
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
CLE / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model favors CLE 54.4% vs market 44.6%—a 9.8pp gap flagged as large disagreement. CLE offense is weak (.600 OPS, 4.4 RPG) yet model picks them on r...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds-109
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-110
Pick Probability54%CIN moneyline
CINHunter GreeneConfirmed
STLAndre PallanteConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CIN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model picks CIN at 54.4% vs market 49.1%, a modest 5.3pp comparison. Greene's 14.33 K/9 in only 16.3 IP is elite strikeout stuff but tiny sample wi...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+112
SFGSan Francisco Giants-132
Pick Probability54%SFG moneyline
LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed
SFGRobbie RayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
SFG moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-105
BOSBoston Red Sox-110
Pick Probability54%BOS moneyline
TORDylan CeaseConfirmed
BOSSonny GrayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
BOS / pass confidence / Rank 7

Elite SP matchup: Gray 2.48 ERA, Cease 2.67 ERA with 13.37 K/9. Model has BOS at 54% vs market 50%; margin is trivial (+0.06 runs). Top SHAP featur...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-107
BALBaltimore Orioles-111
Pick Probability54%BAL moneyline
ATLBryce ElderConfirmed
BALBrandon YoungConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+104
CHWChicago White Sox-124
Pick Probability54%CHW moneyline
HOUHunter BrownConfirmed
CHWSean BurkeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-125
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+105
Pick Probability52%NYY moneyline
NYYRyan WeathersConfirmed
PHITim MayzaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
NYY / pass confidence / Rank 10

PHI pitcher is TBD with fallback stats. Model leans PHI at 55% vs market 47% — an 8-point gap on unknown starter is structural noise. Extreme park...

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