MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Colin Rea's missing stats (0 IP recorded across 10 starts) make this unpickable on side. Model total of 8.82 vs market 7.5 is a 1.32-run gap; HOU's...
Morán has 2.0 IP in 2 starts this season—effectively an opener or bullpen day. Bradley's 18.69 K/9 in 4.1 IP is a 2-start mirage. Model weighs pitc...
STL's 0.812 OPS vs CIN's 0.629 OPS is a massive gap, yet STL scores only 3.5 RPG. Model leans CIN at 60.2% vs market 53.3%—7pp comparison seems unj...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model predicts 9.09 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.6-run gap flags structural miss. Both pitchers have tiny 5.0 IP samples (10 starts each, ~0.5 IP/start i...
Published Slate Notes
MLB Daily Picks — May 23, 2026
Daily Picks — May 23, 2026 1 higher-confidence spot · 5 underdog leans · 6 total notes High-Confidence moneyline notes HOU @ CHC — May 23, 2026 [HIGH CONFIDENCE · TOTAL] Our model: CHC -1.5 | Total 8.8 Vegas: CHC -1.5 | Total 7.5 Confidence: 64.1% (picks CHC) total notes: OVER 7.5 (model 8.82, over...
Games reviewed cover the published slate notes. Ranked analyst picks are the matchups with public AI Analyst rankings, so the counts can differ.
- Top confidence matchupHOU @ CHC
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Model has TOR 53.5%, market implies PIT 58.5% — a 12pp gap flags structural miss. Skenes' 0.2 IP sample is noise (67.5 ERA meaningless), but market knows he's elite. T...
Model sees coin flip (50.6% KCR), market leans SEA at 55.2% implied. SEA offense much stronger (4.2 RPG, .793 OPS vs 2.5/.518). Kirby's 1.50 ERA in limited IP is elite...
Market has PHI at 63.6% vs model's 50.6% — large gap. Wheeler's missing stats are suspicious but PHI is home in a pitcher's park (PF 1.15 helps hitters, not pitchers —...
CHW favored by offensive gap (5.6 RPG vs 3.8, .729 OPS vs .388) but Hudson's 0.2 IP sample is microscopic. Market leans SFG at home despite Oracle's 0.906 park factor....
Model likes MIL 53.6% vs market's 47.6% for LAD. LAD's 5.2 RPG offense is stronger than MIL's 4.7 RPG. Both pitchers lack season stats (IP/ERA/K9 all null), making thi...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Colin Rea's missing stats (0 IP recorded across 10 starts) make this unpickable on side. Model total of 8.82 vs market 7.5 is a 1.32-run gap; HOU's...
Morán has 2.0 IP in 2 starts this season—effectively an opener or bullpen day. Bradley's 18.69 K/9 in 4.1 IP is a 2-start mirage. Model weighs pitc...
STL's 0.812 OPS vs CIN's 0.629 OPS is a massive gap, yet STL scores only 3.5 RPG. Model leans CIN at 60.2% vs market 53.3%—7pp comparison seems unj...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model predicts 9.09 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.6-run gap flags structural miss. Both pitchers have tiny 5.0 IP samples (10 starts each, ~0.5 IP/start i...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has TOR 53.5%, market implies PIT 58.5% — a 12pp gap flags structural miss. Skenes' 0.2 IP sample is noise (67.5 ERA meaningless), but market...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model likes MIL 53.6% vs market's 47.6% for LAD. LAD's 5.2 RPG offense is stronger than MIL's 4.7 RPG. Both pitchers lack season stats (IP/ERA/K9 a...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
CHW favored by offensive gap (5.6 RPG vs 3.8, .729 OPS vs .388) but Hudson's 0.2 IP sample is microscopic. Market leans SFG at home despite Oracle'...
Market has PHI at 63.6% vs model's 50.6% — large gap. Wheeler's missing stats are suspicious but PHI is home in a pitcher's park (PF 1.15 helps hit...
Model sees coin flip (50.6% KCR), market leans SEA at 55.2% implied. SEA offense much stronger (4.2 RPG, .793 OPS vs 2.5/.518). Kirby's 1.50 ERA in...