MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 78%. That 14-point gap flags structural risk. Pitcher stats are null for both Ohtani and Sugano despite 10...
Market has CLE at 62.9%, model at 60.2%. Both pitchers have tiny samples (5.0 IP each) with poor ERAs (5.4 and 7.2). WSN offensive comparison is re...
Model has OAK at 58% but market implies SEA 54%. The 12-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither pitcher profile is compelling—Spri...
Model and market align on TEX ~58-59%. deGrom returning from injury (10 starts, missing rate stats) is structural comparison vs Burrows' 7.94 ERA i...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Model and market align on TEX ~58-59%. deGrom returning from injury (10 starts, missing rate stats) is structural comparison vs Burrows' 7.94 ERA in limited work. Mode...
Model predicts 9.22 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.72-run gap flags structural miss. Gausman's 1.50 ERA/16.5 K/9 in 60 IP is elite; market implies 58% TOR vs model's 54%, sugg...
Model has SFG 53.6% vs market 45.6%, a 8pp gap. ARI is 29-25 with 6.2 RPG vs SFG 22-33 at 5.3 RPG. Oracle Park (0.906 PF) suppresses scoring. Model's 8.9 total vs mark...
Model has OAK at 58% but market implies SEA 54%. The 12-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither pitcher profile is compelling—Springs 5.1 IP sample is...
Market has CLE at 62.9%, model at 60.2%. Both pitchers have tiny samples (5.0 IP each) with poor ERAs (5.4 and 7.2). WSN offensive comparison is real: 5.2 RPG and .820...
Model and market align on PHI slight comparison (53% vs 61% implied). Sánchez's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is a microscopic sample, not predictive. Buehler's missing rate stat...
Model heavily favors KCR (57% vs market 42%) despite NYY having superior record (33-22 vs 22-33) and offense (4.5 RPG, .692 OPS vs 2.6 RPG, .518 OPS). Classic offense_...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 78%. That 14-point gap flags structural risk. Pitcher stats are null for both Ohtani and Sugano despite 10...
Market has CLE at 62.9%, model at 60.2%. Both pitchers have tiny samples (5.0 IP each) with poor ERAs (5.4 and 7.2). WSN offensive comparison is re...
Model has OAK at 58% but market implies SEA 54%. The 12-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither pitcher profile is compelling—Spri...
Model and market align on TEX ~58-59%. deGrom returning from injury (10 starts, missing rate stats) is structural comparison vs Burrows' 7.94 ERA i...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model heavily favors KCR (57% vs market 42%) despite NYY having superior record (33-22 vs 22-33) and offense (4.5 RPG, .692 OPS vs 2.6 RPG, .518 OP...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model predicts 9.22 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.72-run gap flags structural miss. Gausman's 1.50 ERA/16.5 K/9 in 60 IP is elite; market implies 58% TOR...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has SFG 53.6% vs market 45.6%, a 8pp gap. ARI is 29-25 with 6.2 RPG vs SFG 22-33 at 5.3 RPG. Oracle Park (0.906 PF) suppresses scoring. Model...
Model and market align on PHI slight comparison (53% vs 61% implied). Sánchez's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is a microscopic sample, not predictive. Buehler...
Model predicts 9.06 runs vs market 7.5 — a 1.56-run gap triggers total_far_from_market. DET offense is league-worst at 2.7 RPG, .582 OPS. Soriano's...