Ranked picks with source labels.

SDP pitcher is TBD fallback data (77.7 IP, 4.17 ERA aggregate). Model total 9.47 vs market 7.5 is a 2-run gap—largest structural miss flag. Eovaldi...

Model likes OAK 58% vs market 54%, but Detmers (3.68 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in 88 IP) is the sharper starter against Perkins (6.15 ERA in 41 IP). LAA offen...

Model has STL 56.8%, market implies 53.1% — modest comparison. Model total 10.01 vs market 8.5 is a 1.5-run gap triggering the flag. Kauffman PF 1....

Model has MIA 55.5% but market implies only 43% — a 12.5pp gap flags structural miss. Webb (3.46 ERA, 75 IP) vs Gusto (7.24 ERA, 14 IP) is a mismat...

Market and model align on SEA ~55-56%. Gilbert (3.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP in 86.7 IP) vs Tolle (2.93 ERA in 58.3 IP) qualifies as ace matchup. T-Mobile's...