PIT at ATL

NYY 37-26 vs BOS 26-36; model 60.2% lines up reasonably with Pinnacle's 58.2% implied. Both starters lack resolved ERA/WHIP stats despite 10 GS eac...

Sheehan's 10.8 ERA across 3.1 IP is extreme small sample noise; Soriano's 0.0 ERA in 6.0 IP equally unreliable. Market is 11pp more confident in LA...

Model has MIL at 58.6%, market implies 62.0% — reasonable convergence. Coors Field (PF 1.47) screams over but model predicts 9.28 vs market 12.0, a...

Both pitchers show 0.00 ERA but tiny samples (Vásquez 6.0 IP, Brazobán 2.1 IP). Model favors SDP 57.5% vs market's 50-50, but extreme park (0.962)...

Model favors CIN 55.2% but market has STL at 56.6%. McGreevy's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is extreme small sample noise, yet he's still a live arm at home....

deGrom has zero IP/ERA data despite 10 starts — critical stats are missing for the ace. Cantillo's 3.2 IP over 10 starts suggests opener usage, not...

Model picks ARI 53.5% despite WSN's massive offensive comparison (5.3 vs 2.6 RPG, .820 vs .564 OPS). Soroka has null ERA/IP/WHIP stats across 10 st...

Model picks CHW at 52% but market has PHI at 61%. Gilbert's 18.0 ERA in 1.0 IP is absurdly small sample; CHW offense is elite (6.4 RPG, .729 OPS) b...