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Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

NYM at ATL

ATL moneyline leads the current board at 59%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

NYMNew York Mets41%
ATLAtlanta Braves59%
Open matchupView top picks
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability59%
Closing odds-185
Game time
VenueTruist Park · Atlanta, GA
NYM starterZac Thornton
ATL starterTyler Mahle
Top pick of 15 on 2026-08-12Open matchup
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-08-12
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+158
ATLAtlanta Braves-185
Pick Probability59%ATL moneyline
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model (59.1%) and market (59.8%) agree on Atlanta, and the 72-48 record plus .789 OPS backs it despite Mahle's 4.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Thornton's 2...

Updated Edge and EV held
#2MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+128
CHWChicago White Sox-150
Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
CHWLuis CastilloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#3MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles-109
MINMinnesota Twins-110
Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#4MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-166
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+140
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#5MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-232
OAKOakland Athletics+192
Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

MarketAll marketsMoneyline
ProbabilityGame time
15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+158
ATLAtlanta Braves-185
Pick Probability59%ATL moneyline
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model (59.1%) and market (59.8%) agree on Atlanta, and the 72-48 record plus .789 OPS backs it despite Mahle's 4.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Thornton's 2...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+128
CHWChicago White Sox-150
Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
CHWLuis CastilloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles-109
MINMinnesota Twins-110
Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-166
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+140
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-232
OAKOakland Athletics+192
Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-164
WSNWashington Nationals+138
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
CHCDavid PetersonConfirmed
WSNJackson KentConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-133
TORToronto Blue Jays+112
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
BOSRanger SuarezConfirmed
TORJosé SorianoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.3
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (58.2% BOS) and market (-122, ~53.9% implied) agree on Boston, so the side is defensible. The 8.95 model total is nearly 2 runs above the 7.0...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+116
NYYNew York Yankees-138
Pick Probability56%NYY moneyline
SEABryce MillerConfirmed
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+109
DETDetroit Tigers-128
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLEFoster GriffinConfirmed
DETFramber ValdezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
DET / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CLE at 55.1% while market implies 54.1% home, a ~9-point gap with the model taking the team with the worse record (58-62) and lower runs...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+155
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-180
Pick Probability54%ARI moneyline
COLRyan FeltnerConfirmed
ARIMerrill KellyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-146
SFGSan Francisco Giants+125
Pick Probability53%HOU moneyline
HOUBryan KingConfirmed
SFGAdrian HouserConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-118
SDPSan Diego Padres+100
Pick Probability53%MIL moneyline
MILDustin MayConfirmed
SDPRobbie RayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+104
MIAMiami Marlins-124
Pick Probability53%MIA moneyline
PITCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed
MIAJanson JunkConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+191
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-226
Pick Probability53%LAD moneyline
KCRDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
LADEric LauerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers-132
LAALos Angeles Angels+113
Pick Probability53%LAA moneyline
TEXCal QuantrillConfirmed
LAAGeorge KlassenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
TEX / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors LAA (46-74, 2.2 RPG) despite worse record and offense, with Klassen at 7.27 ERA and a 2.88 WHIP over 8.7 IP. Quantrill's 3.56 ERA and...

Updated Edge and EV held
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