Top Spotlight / SOCCER / 1X2

MLA at ADM

Atleti win leads the current board at 78%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

MLAMálaga8%
DRAWDraw14%
ADMAtleti78%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability78%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
Game time
Top pick of 16 on 2026-08-19Open matchup
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Strongest Today
No active pickNo eligible games on this board date
Latest Model Update
3 live sport summaries
Data Watch
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-08-19
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+190
CLECleveland Guardians-230
Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline
SFGMatt WilkinsonConfirmed
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market implies 65.9% on CLE vs model 61.3%; I side with the market here given Messick's 2.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 142 IP against a SFG offense at...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+173
TBRTampa Bay Rays-205
Pick Probability57%TBR moneyline
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market's 65.7% on TBR looks better calibrated than the model's 57%; Rasmussen (2.78 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 9.26 K/9) against Scherzer (6.59 ERA, 1.46 WHIP...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+140
BOSBoston Red Sox-163
Pick Probability57%BOS moneyline
ARIBrandon PfaadtConfirmed
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+155
KCRKansas City Royals-186
Pick Probability56%KCR moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
KCR / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Both starters are TBD with fallback stats, so the 2.83 vs 3.91 ERA gap is not attributable to actual pitchers. No market odds available, so no anch...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-111
BALBaltimore Orioles-104
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
BALChris BassittConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+190
CLECleveland Guardians-230
Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline
SFGMatt WilkinsonConfirmed
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market implies 65.9% on CLE vs model 61.3%; I side with the market here given Messick's 2.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 142 IP against a SFG offense at...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+173
TBRTampa Bay Rays-205
Pick Probability57%TBR moneyline
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market's 65.7% on TBR looks better calibrated than the model's 57%; Rasmussen (2.78 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 9.26 K/9) against Scherzer (6.59 ERA, 1.46 WHIP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+140
BOSBoston Red Sox-163
Pick Probability57%BOS moneyline
ARIBrandon PfaadtConfirmed
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+155
KCRKansas City Royals-186
Pick Probability56%KCR moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
KCR / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Both starters are TBD with fallback stats, so the 2.83 vs 3.91 ERA gap is not attributable to actual pitchers. No market odds available, so no anch...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-111
BALBaltimore Orioles-104
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
BALChris BassittConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+120
CINCincinnati Reds-141
Pick Probability54%STL moneyline
STLMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CIN / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has CIN at 57.9% while the model gives STL 54.4% — a large gap, and the pitching matchup favors the market: Burns at 2.47 ERA, 10.37 K/9, 1....

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+135
PITPittsburgh Pirates-158
Pick Probability54%PIT moneyline
DETJackson JobeConfirmed
PITPaul SkenesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+127
CHCChicago Cubs-149
Pick Probability54%CHC moneyline
CHWSean NewcombConfirmed
CHCClay HolmesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+131
HOUHouston Astros-153
Pick Probability54%HOU moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
HOUEthan PeckoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-141
NYMNew York Mets+120
Pick Probability52%NYM moneyline
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
NYMRobert StockConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes NYM despite worse record (57-70 vs 68-59), lower RPG (3.9 vs 4.7) and a far weaker starter: Stock's 6.57 ERA and 1.86 WHIP over 12.3 IP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+124
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-147
Pick Probability52%PHI moneyline
MIASandy AlcantaraConfirmed
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+106
MILMilwaukee Brewers-123
Pick Probability52%MIL moneyline
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
MILDustin MayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-200
COLColorado Rockies+170
Pick Probability52%COL moneyline
LADRoki SasakiConfirmed
COLKyle FreelandConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 51.6% on COL sits 16 points above the market's 35.6% implied, and the underlying inputs don't support it: Colorado is 50-76 with a .531 OPS...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-114
MINMinnesota Twins-104
Pick Probability51%MIN moneyline
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverConfirmed
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Near pick'em: model 51.4% MIN vs market 48.4%, no real comparison either way. ATL's 74-52 record and .789 OPS outrank MIN's 62-65 and .673, so I ta...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+108
TEXTexas Rangers-125
Pick Probability51%TEX moneyline
WSNCade CavalliConfirmed
TEXKumar RockerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
WSN / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Taking the other side of both model and market: WSN owns the better starter (Cavalli 3.36 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.94 K/9 vs Rocker 4.50/1.40) and a far b...

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