MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-04 / 9 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-04
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+210
ATLAtlanta Braves-263
Pick Probability64%ATL moneyline
TORMason Fluharty
ATLChris Sale
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.3
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market at 65.5% implied vs model 58.1% shows sharp divergence favoring ATL. Chris Sale's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP (tiny sample) plus TOR fallback pitcher...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-139
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+117
Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline
LADJustin Wrobleski
ARIRyne Nelson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has LAD at 58.6%, market implies 56.3% — reasonable convergence. ARI offense is weak (.564 OPS, 4.3 RPG) vs LAD (.743 OPS, 5.9 RPG). Nelson's...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+120
CHCChicago Cubs-142
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
OAKJ.T. Ginn
CHCShota Imanaga
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 5

Ginn's 0.00 ERA in 3.2 IP per start is noise, not signal. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5.0 IP per start suggests recent struggles or limited sample. Model...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-105
HOUHouston Astros-113
Pick Probability58%HOU moneyline
PITJared Jones
HOUKai-Wei Teng
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has HOU 58% but market is coin flip (HOU -108). PIT is 33-29 vs HOU 28-35; model picks the worse team. Daikin park factor 0.81 is extreme pit...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
BOSBoston Red Sox-120
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
BALTrevor Rogers
BOSBrayan Bello
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model likes BOS at 57.5%, market at 52.1% — modest comparison. Rogers' 0.00 ERA in 7.0 IP is extreme small-sample noise, not predictive. Bello lack...

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-04

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

9 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+210
ATLAtlanta Braves-263
Pick Probability64%ATL moneyline
TORMason Fluharty
ATLChris Sale
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.3
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market at 65.5% implied vs model 58.1% shows sharp divergence favoring ATL. Chris Sale's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP (tiny sample) plus TOR fallback pitcher...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-139
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+117
Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline
LADJustin Wrobleski
ARIRyne Nelson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has LAD at 58.6%, market implies 56.3% — reasonable convergence. ARI offense is weak (.564 OPS, 4.3 RPG) vs LAD (.743 OPS, 5.9 RPG). Nelson's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+120
CHCChicago Cubs-142
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
OAKJ.T. Ginn
CHCShota Imanaga
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 5

Ginn's 0.00 ERA in 3.2 IP per start is noise, not signal. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5.0 IP per start suggests recent struggles or limited sample. Model...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-105
HOUHouston Astros-113
Pick Probability58%HOU moneyline
PITJared Jones
HOUKai-Wei Teng
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has HOU 58% but market is coin flip (HOU -108). PIT is 33-29 vs HOU 28-35; model picks the worse team. Daikin park factor 0.81 is extreme pit...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
BOSBoston Red Sox-120
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
BALTrevor Rogers
BOSBrayan Bello
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model likes BOS at 57.5%, market at 52.1% — modest comparison. Rogers' 0.00 ERA in 7.0 IP is extreme small-sample noise, not predictive. Bello lack...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals-115
MINMinnesota Twins-104
Pick Probability55%KCR moneyline
KCRSeth Lugo
MINAndrew Morris
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+178
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-216
Pick Probability54%PHI moneyline
SDPLucas Giolito
PHIZack Wheeler
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+140
NYYNew York Yankees-166
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
CLESlade Cecconi
NYYCarlos Rodón
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+162
MILMilwaukee Brewers-192
Pick Probability51%MIL moneyline
SFGAdrian Houser
MILColeman Crow
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.