MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-05 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-05
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+121
NYYNew York Yankees-144
Pick Probability60%NYY moneyline
BOSSonny Gray
NYYRyan Weathers
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model at 60.2% vs market 57.4% on NYY is modest comparison. BOS offense better (.736 OPS vs .692) but 25-36 record suggests context issues. Weather...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+122
ATLAtlanta Braves-146
Pick Probability60%ATL moneyline
PITMitch Keller
ATLMartín Pérez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model has ATL at 60.2%, market at 57.2% — mild comparison but not actionable. PIT's 6.9 RPG over 63 games is real offensive strength vs their .710...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+112
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-132
Pick Probability59%WSN moneyline
WSNFoster Griffin
ARIMerrill Kelly
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model likes WSN at 58.6% vs market's 45.2% implied—a 13.4pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. ARI's .564 OPS is 62-game verified weakness;...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+152
CHCChicago Cubs-180
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
SFGRobbie Ray
CHCEdward Cabrera
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 9

Model total of 8.97 vs market 11.0 is a 2-run gap—huge structural miss. Cabrera has no recorded IP/ERA/WHIP despite 10 starts (data issue). SFG's 0...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+157
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-190
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
CHWAnthony Kay
PHIJesús Luzardo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-05
Rank#1
MIL at COLMilwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies
AI Analyst PickMILstrong confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCOL / 54%Model pick probability

Model badly misreads Coors. Market total 12.0 vs model 9.03 — park factor 1.47 screams over. Sproat's 21.0 ERA in 3 IP is noise but MIL offense (.972 OPS) vs COL pitch...

Rank#2
LAA at LADLos Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers
AI Analyst PickLADstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelLAA / 57%Model pick probability

Model picks LAA at 53% but market has LAD at 64% implied (-190). Away pitcher is TBD/fallback with 1.2 IP sample — unknowable matchup quality. LAD's 40-23 record and h...

Rank#3
WSN at ARIWashington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks
AI Analyst PickWSNlean confidence
Agrees with modelWSN / 59%Model pick probability

Model likes WSN at 58.6% vs market's 45.2% implied—a 13.4pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. ARI's .564 OPS is 62-game verified weakness; WSN's .82 OPS and 4....

Rank#4
TBR at MIATampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins
AI Analyst PickTBRlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelMIA / 54%Model pick probability

Model favors MIA 53.6% vs market 45.2%, an 8.4pp gap. TBR is 36-23 with superior .802 OPS; MIA is 29-34. Rasmussen's 1.80 ERA in 5.0 IP is tiny sample but real. Model'...

Rank#5
PIT at ATLPittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves
AI Analyst PickATLlean confidence
Agrees with modelATL / 60%Model pick probability

Model has ATL at 60.2%, market at 57.2% — mild comparison but not actionable. PIT's 6.9 RPG over 63 games is real offensive strength vs their .710 OPS; model may be ov...

Rank#6
BOS at NYYBoston Red Sox at New York Yankees
AI Analyst PickNYYlean confidence
Agrees with modelNYY / 60%Model pick probability

Model at 60.2% vs market 57.4% on NYY is modest comparison. BOS offense better (.736 OPS vs .692) but 25-36 record suggests context issues. Weathers lacks resolved ERA...

Rank#7
SEA at DETSeattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Agrees with modelSEA / 52%Model pick probability

Model has SEA 52.2%, market 52.8% — near consensus. Valdez 1.50 ERA in 60 IP is elite, Woo 3.00 with 13.5 K/9 also strong. Model's 9.03 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.5-ru...

Rank#8
CLE at TEXCleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickCLElean confidence
Agrees with modelCLE / 55%Model pick probability

Model has CLE at 55.2%, market at 54.6% — convergence. Total at 9.1 vs market 7.5 is a 1.6-run gap; model likely overweighting TEX offense (4.8 RPG) vs CLE's road pitc...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+121
NYYNew York Yankees-144
Pick Probability60%NYY moneyline
BOSSonny Gray
NYYRyan Weathers
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model at 60.2% vs market 57.4% on NYY is modest comparison. BOS offense better (.736 OPS vs .692) but 25-36 record suggests context issues. Weather...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+122
ATLAtlanta Braves-146
Pick Probability60%ATL moneyline
PITMitch Keller
ATLMartín Pérez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model has ATL at 60.2%, market at 57.2% — mild comparison but not actionable. PIT's 6.9 RPG over 63 games is real offensive strength vs their .710...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+112
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-132
Pick Probability59%WSN moneyline
WSNFoster Griffin
ARIMerrill Kelly
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model likes WSN at 58.6% vs market's 45.2% implied—a 13.4pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. ARI's .564 OPS is 62-game verified weakness;...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+152
CHCChicago Cubs-180
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
SFGRobbie Ray
CHCEdward Cabrera
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 9

Model total of 8.97 vs market 11.0 is a 2-run gap—huge structural miss. Cabrera has no recorded IP/ERA/WHIP despite 10 starts (data issue). SFG's 0...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+157
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-190
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
CHWAnthony Kay
PHIJesús Luzardo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals-102
MINMinnesota Twins-118
Pick Probability58%MIN moneyline
KCRMichael Wacha
MINZebby Matthews
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+164
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-200
Pick Probability57%LAA moneyline
LAAReid Detmers
LADRoki Sasaki
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks LAA at 53% but market has LAD at 64% implied (-190). Away pitcher is TBD/fallback with 1.2 IP sample — unknowable matchup quality. LAD'...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-128
TEXTexas Rangers+108
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLEParker Messick
TEXKumar Rocker
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CLE / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Model has CLE at 55.2%, market at 54.6% — convergence. Total at 9.1 vs market 7.5 is a 1.6-run gap; model likely overweighting TEX offense (4.8 RPG...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+123
TORToronto Blue Jays-147
Pick Probability54%TOR moneyline
BALBrandon Young
TORTrey Yesavage
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-132
MIAMiami Marlins+110
Pick Probability54%MIA moneyline
TBRDrew Rasmussen
MIARyan Gusto
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors MIA 53.6% vs market 45.2%, an 8.4pp gap. TBR is 36-23 with superior .802 OPS; MIA is 29-34. Rasmussen's 1.80 ERA in 5.0 IP is tiny sam...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+120
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-143
Pick Probability54%STL moneyline
CINBrady Singer
STLKyle Leahy
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-157
COLColorado Rockies+130
Pick Probability54%COL moneyline
MILBrandon Sproat
COLRyan Feltner
Market OddsPregame
Market Total12.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
MIL / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model badly misreads Coors. Market total 12.0 vs model 9.03 — park factor 1.47 screams over. Sproat's 21.0 ERA in 3 IP is noise but MIL offense (.9...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics-109
HOUHouston Astros-110
Pick Probability53%OAK moneyline
OAKJack Perkins
HOUPeter Lambert
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-123
DETDetroit Tigers+104
Pick Probability52%SEA moneyline
SEABryan Woo
DETFramber Valdez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model has SEA 52.2%, market 52.8% — near consensus. Valdez 1.50 ERA in 60 IP is elite, Woo 3.00 with 13.5 K/9 also strong. Model's 9.03 total vs ma...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+110
SDPSan Diego Padres-132
Pick Probability51%SDP moneyline
NYMChristian Scott
SDPMichael King
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
SDP / pass confidence / Rank 10

Christian Scott's pitcher data is completely missing (null ERA, IP, K/9, WHIP). Michael King shows 10 GS but only 5.0 IP total, which is impossible...