MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-15 / 10 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-15
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+118
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-139
Pick Probability64%ARI moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
ARIRyne NelsonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.7
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has ARI at 64% but market only 55% — a 9-point gap flags structural overconfidence. LAA offense is vastly superior (5.8 RPG, .860 OPS vs 2.7...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+115
CINCincinnati Reds-139
Pick Probability64%CIN moneyline
NYMTobias MyersConfirmed
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
CIN / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has CIN at 64% vs market 56%, an 8-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Burns' 2.14 ERA in 75.7 IP is legit, but Myers' 4.05 ERA in only...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+132
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-157
Pick Probability60%STL moneyline
SDPWandy PeraltaConfirmed
STLDustin MayConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
STL / pass confidence / Rank 5

Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats, making both side and total unreliable. STL's 6.7 RPG vs SDP's 4.1 RPG is a wide offensive gap, but model o...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+155
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-186
Pick Probability60%LAD moneyline
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
LADEric LauerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors LAD at 60.2% vs market 58.8%, but Lauer's 5.47 ERA in 52.7 IP is a clear weakness against TBR's .802 OPS offense. Martinez (2.43 ERA,...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+163
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-197
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-15

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

10 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+118
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-139
Pick Probability64%ARI moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
ARIRyne NelsonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.7
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has ARI at 64% but market only 55% — a 9-point gap flags structural overconfidence. LAA offense is vastly superior (5.8 RPG, .860 OPS vs 2.7...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+115
CINCincinnati Reds-139
Pick Probability64%CIN moneyline
NYMTobias MyersConfirmed
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
CIN / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has CIN at 64% vs market 56%, an 8-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Burns' 2.14 ERA in 75.7 IP is legit, but Myers' 4.05 ERA in only...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+132
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-157
Pick Probability60%STL moneyline
SDPWandy PeraltaConfirmed
STLDustin MayConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
STL / pass confidence / Rank 5

Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats, making both side and total unreliable. STL's 6.7 RPG vs SDP's 4.1 RPG is a wide offensive gap, but model o...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+155
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-186
Pick Probability60%LAD moneyline
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
LADEric LauerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors LAD at 60.2% vs market 58.8%, but Lauer's 5.47 ERA in 52.7 IP is a clear weakness against TBR's .802 OPS offense. Martinez (2.43 ERA,...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+163
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-197
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+128
TEXTexas Rangers-152
Pick Probability58%TEX moneyline
MINMike ParedesConfirmed
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+114
WSNWashington Nationals-137
Pick Probability54%WSN moneyline
KCRMitch SpenceConfirmed
WSNAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+189
CHCChicago Cubs-226
Pick Probability54%CHC moneyline
COLMichael LorenzenConfirmed
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+105
HOUHouston Astros-124
Pick Probability54%HOU moneyline
DETDrew AndersonConfirmed
HOUKai-Wei TengConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+105
OAKOakland Athletics-125
Pick Probability54%OAK moneyline
PITJared JonesConfirmed
OAKJ.T. GinnConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
OAK / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model predicts 8.97 runs vs market 11.0, a 2-run gap. Ginn's 3.15 ERA in 71 IP is solid, Jones in only 13 IP is noisy. Hitter park argues over but...

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