MLB moneyline board.

Model leans HOU at 52.4% against a market implying 53.3% home; I side with San Diego. Ray has 122.7 IP at a 3.08 ERA versus Blanco's 7.36 ERA over just 14.7 IP, a clea...

Model and market both favor CLE, though market is firmer (-139, ~58% vs model 52.4%). The pitching gap drives it: Messick 2.57 ERA/1.06 WHIP over 129.7 IP against Schu...

Model (62.7%) and market (60.8%) essentially agree on Miami, so no comparison dispute. Phillips at 3.53 ERA over 89.1 IP is a stable profile against Klassen's 4.2 IP w...

Market implies 70.2% for BOS vs model 62.7%; the gap favors the market here. Boston at 6.6 RPG and .736 OPS against Perkins (6.72 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) is a mismatch, and OA...

Model's 9.46 total is 2.5 runs above the 7.0 market line in a 0.855 park factor venue with Gilbert (3.46 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) opposing Rasmussen (2.91 ERA, 0.93 WHIP) — a c...

Market prices PIT at 55.6% despite a 3.2 RPG offense versus NYM's 5.0 RPG and .736 OPS; that gap is worth the +121, so I side lightly with the model on NYM. Thornton's...

Model has TEX at 53.6% vs market 58.1%, so no side comparison worth acting on; Eovaldi's 4.31 ERA against a .662-OPS Baltimore offense still tilts marginally home. The...

Model lands on LAD at 57.6% while the market prices them near 64% at -175, so there's no value on the favorite even if the side is right. Sasaki's 9.18 K/9 and 1.30 WH...