MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-07-12 / 25 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Jacob Misiorowski MIL starter / away
Projected K 8.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 100%
O 2.5 99%
O 3.5 96%
O 4.5 91%
O 5.5 84%
O 6.5 73%
O 7.5 61%
O 8.5 48%
O 9.5 36%
O 10.5 26%
O 11.5 17%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Paul Skenes PIT starter / home
Projected K 6.1
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98%
O 2.5 93%
O 3.5 84%
O 4.5 71%
O 5.5 55%
O 6.5 40%
O 7.5 27%
O 8.5 17%
O 9.5 10%
O 10.5 5%
O 11.5 3%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Will Warren NYY starter / away
Projected K 4.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90%
O 2.5 76%
O 3.5 57%
O 4.5 38%
O 5.5 23%
O 6.5 12%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Seth Lugo KCR starter / away
Projected K 4.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90%
O 2.5 76%
O 3.5 57%
O 4.5 38%
O 5.5 23%
O 6.5 12%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane Baz BAL starter / home
Projected K 5.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 87%
O 3.5 73%
O 4.5 55%
O 5.5 39%
O 6.5 25%
O 7.5 14%
O 8.5 8%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Emerson Hancock SEA starter / away
Projected K 3.8
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88%
O 2.5 71%
O 3.5 51%
O 4.5 32%
O 5.5 18%
O 6.5 9%
O 7.5 4%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ian Seymour TBR starter / home
Projected K 5.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 91%
O 3.5 80%
O 4.5 65%
O 5.5 48%
O 6.5 33%
O 7.5 21%
O 8.5 12%
O 9.5 7%
O 10.5 3%
O 11.5 2%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Payton Tolle BOS starter / away
Projected K 4.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94%
O 2.5 83%
O 3.5 67%
O 4.5 49%
O 5.5 32%
O 6.5 19%
O 7.5 11%
O 8.5 5%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Joey Cantillo CLE starter / away
Projected K 5.2
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 88%
O 3.5 75%
O 4.5 58%
O 5.5 41%
O 6.5 27%
O 7.5 16%
O 8.5 9%
O 9.5 5%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Zack Wheeler PHI starter / away
Projected K 6.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 95%
O 3.5 88%
O 4.5 77%
O 5.5 63%
O 6.5 49%
O 7.5 35%
O 8.5 23%
O 9.5 14%
O 10.5 8%
O 11.5 5%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Tarik Skubal DET starter / home
Projected K 7.3
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 97%
O 3.5 92%
O 4.5 83%
O 5.5 72%
O 6.5 58%
O 7.5 44%
O 8.5 31%
O 9.5 21%
O 10.5 13%
O 11.5 8%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Matthew Boyd CHC starter / away
Projected K 5.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 90%
O 3.5 78%
O 4.5 62%
O 5.5 46%
O 6.5 31%
O 7.5 19%
O 8.5 11%
O 9.5 6%
O 10.5 3%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Andrew Abbott CIN starter / home
Projected K 5.2
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 88%
O 3.5 75%
O 4.5 59%
O 5.5 42%
O 6.5 27%
O 7.5 17%
O 8.5 9%
O 9.5 5%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
José Soriano LAA starter / away
Projected K 5.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 86%
O 3.5 72%
O 4.5 55%
O 5.5 38%
O 6.5 24%
O 7.5 14%
O 8.5 8%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Taj Bradley MIN starter / home
Projected K 6.9
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 96%
O 3.5 90%
O 4.5 80%
O 5.5 67%
O 6.5 52%
O 7.5 38%
O 8.5 26%
O 9.5 17%
O 10.5 10%
O 11.5 6%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
J.T. Ginn OAK starter / away
Projected K 4.8
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 84%
O 3.5 69%
O 4.5 51%
O 5.5 35%
O 6.5 21%
O 7.5 12%
O 8.5 6%
O 9.5 3%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Noah Schultz CHW starter / home
Projected K 4.5
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93%
O 2.5 81%
O 3.5 64%
O 4.5 46%
O 5.5 29%
O 6.5 17%
O 7.5 9%
O 8.5 4%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
JR Ritchie ATL starter / away
Projected K 3.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 84%
O 2.5 65%
O 3.5 43%
O 4.5 25%
O 5.5 13%
O 6.5 6%
O 7.5 3%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Dustin May STL starter / home
Projected K 4.9
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 86%
O 3.5 71%
O 4.5 54%
O 5.5 37%
O 6.5 23%
O 7.5 13%
O 8.5 7%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Michael Lorenzen COL starter / away
Projected K 3.8
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89%
O 2.5 72%
O 3.5 52%
O 4.5 34%
O 5.5 19%
O 6.5 10%
O 7.5 5%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Trevor McDonald SFG starter / home
Projected K 4.2
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91%
O 2.5 78%
O 3.5 59%
O 4.5 41%
O 5.5 25%
O 6.5 14%
O 7.5 7%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Kevin Gausman TOR starter / away
Projected K 5.7
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 91%
O 3.5 81%
O 4.5 66%
O 5.5 50%
O 6.5 35%
O 7.5 23%
O 8.5 14%
O 9.5 8%
O 10.5 4%
O 11.5 2%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Germán Márquez SDP starter / home
Projected K 3.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 85%
O 2.5 66%
O 3.5 45%
O 4.5 27%
O 5.5 14%
O 6.5 7%
O 7.5 3%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Zac Gallen ARI starter / away
Projected K 3.7
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88%
O 2.5 71%
O 3.5 51%
O 4.5 32%
O 5.5 18%
O 6.5 9%
O 7.5 4%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Emmet Sheehan LAD starter / home
Projected K 4.8
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 85%
O 3.5 70%
O 4.5 52%
O 5.5 35%
O 6.5 22%
O 7.5 12%
O 8.5 6%
O 9.5 3%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.