Ranked picks with source labels.

Model (61.4%) and market (59.7%) essentially agree on STL, so the side is defensible without conviction. The total is the divergence: model 9.59 vs...

Model (61.4%) and market (63.2%) essentially agree on Tampa Bay; no comparison either way, so this is a defensible side without value. Martinez's 2...

LAD is the clear side: 92-59 with 5.7 RPG and .743 OPS against a Cincinnati offense at 3.7 RPG and .629 OPS. Snell (1.91 ERA, 12.19 K/9) faces the...

Market (62.2%) is higher on Cleveland than the model (55.6%), and the pitching matchup supports the market: Messick at 2.51 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 9.3 K/9...

Starter gap is the cleanest signal: Montero at 3.55 ERA/1.03 WHIP over 147 IP against Scherzer at 6.38 ERA/1.37 WHIP in 67.7 IP. Market makes TOR a...