Barça at Alavés

Model (64.1%) and market (62.9%) align on PIT. Keller's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP across 10 starts is impossibly small-sample (0.6 IP/start); Quintana's 4...

Ohtani's pitcher stats are completely null (IP, ERA, K/9, WHIP all missing) despite 10 starts logged—data quality failure makes his side unreadable...

Market favors SEA at 53.7% implied, model has HOU at 58.1%—an 11.8pp gap. SEA's superior offense (4.0 RPG, .793 OPS vs 3.0 RPG, .695 OPS) and bette...

Model total of 9.0 runs is 2 runs over market line of 7.0—a major structural miss. Messick lacks ERA/WHIP stats despite 10 starts (data gap). LAA o...

Model total 8.93 vs market 7.0 is a 1.93-run gap. Both SP have microscopic ERAs in 5.0 IP—obvious small samples. Ace matchup flag fires correctly....

Schultz has 5 starts but null IP/ERA/K9 — data quality is suspect despite 'full' label. Lugo shows 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP over 10 starts, which is arit...

Model leans ARI 55.7% vs market's TEX 51.3% — a 7pp gap but no structural comparison visible. Kumar Rocker has null ERA/IP despite 10 starts (data...

Model favors MIN 54.7% but market leans MIA (implied 53.1%). MIA's .774 OPS vs MIN's .673 is a large gap. Model's 8.97 total vs market 8.5 suggests...

Model has TBR at 52% but market implies TOR 59%. Cease (1.69 ERA, 20.25 K/9 in 5.1 IP) is elite but sample tiny. Jax (18.0 ERA, 1.0 IP) data is ess...