MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Away pitcher Chase Burns has completely null stats (0.0 IP, no ERA/K9/WHIP) despite 10 starts listed—clear data error. Luzardo's 9.0 ERA in only 6....
Model has NYY 58% but Cease's 20.25 K/9 over 5.1 IP and 1.69 ERA is elite form vs Warren's 4.1 IP sample (2.08 ERA but 1.62 WHIP). Market at TOR +1...
Model has CHC 57.5% vs market 49.1% — an 8.4pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. Misiorowski's 19.8 K/9 in 50 IP is elite strikeout stuff;...
Model favors BAL at 55.7% but market has TBR at 53.5%—essentially a coin flip. Griffin Jax's 1.0 IP and 18.00 ERA is noise (likely reliever role, n...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Model has NYY 58% but Cease's 20.25 K/9 over 5.1 IP and 1.69 ERA is elite form vs Warren's 4.1 IP sample (2.08 ERA but 1.62 WHIP). Market at TOR +121 is a notable comp...
Model has CHC 57.5% vs market 49.1% — an 8.4pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. Misiorowski's 19.8 K/9 in 50 IP is elite strikeout stuff; MIL's .972 OPS dwarf...
Model calls coin flip (51% MIA), market leans ATL (56% implied). ATL's 32-16 record vs MIA's 22-26 plus superior .789 OPS suggests market is a notable comparison point...
Model likes DET at 53.5% vs market's 46.9%, but CLE has superior offense (5.6 vs 2.5 RPG) and better record (27-22 vs 20-28). Missing pitcher stats (both null ERA/WHIP...
Model has SEA 53.6%, market implies 57.8% — both near coin flip. CHW scores 5.7 RPG vs SEA 3.9 RPG, yet model picks the worse offense at home. T-Mobile extreme pitcher...
Model favors BAL at 55.7% but market has TBR at 53.5%—essentially a coin flip. Griffin Jax's 1.0 IP and 18.00 ERA is noise (likely reliever role, not real starter data...
Model has SDP 53.5% vs market 41.2% — a 12-point disagreement. Sheehan's 10.8 ERA in 3.1 IP is extreme small sample noise; LAD offense at 4.9 RPG/.743 OPS vastly outcl...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Away pitcher Chase Burns has completely null stats (0.0 IP, no ERA/K9/WHIP) despite 10 starts listed—clear data error. Luzardo's 9.0 ERA in only 6....
Model has NYY 58% but Cease's 20.25 K/9 over 5.1 IP and 1.69 ERA is elite form vs Warren's 4.1 IP sample (2.08 ERA but 1.62 WHIP). Market at TOR +1...
Model has CHC 57.5% vs market 49.1% — an 8.4pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. Misiorowski's 19.8 K/9 in 50 IP is elite strikeout stuff;...
Model favors BAL at 55.7% but market has TBR at 53.5%—essentially a coin flip. Griffin Jax's 1.0 IP and 18.00 ERA is noise (likely reliever role, n...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Both pitchers lack resolved season stats (ERA, WHIP, K/9 all null). Model favors HOU despite worse record and worse offense (2.0 RPG vs 4.2). Marke...
Away pitcher Landen Roupp has null ERA/IP/WHIP despite 10 starts listed—data quality issue makes total unreliable. Model picks SFG 55.2% vs market...
Model likes DET at 53.5% vs market's 46.9%, but CLE has superior offense (5.6 vs 2.5 RPG) and better record (27-22 vs 20-28). Missing pitcher stats...
Both pitchers show extreme small-sample noise: Liberatore 1.8 ERA in 5.0 IP (2 starts?), Keller 0.0 ERA in 6.0 IP. These are not real skill levels....
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has SEA 53.6%, market implies 57.8% — both near coin flip. CHW scores 5.7 RPG vs SEA 3.9 RPG, yet model picks the worse offense at home. T-Mo...
Model has SDP 53.5% vs market 41.2% — a 12-point disagreement. Sheehan's 10.8 ERA in 3.1 IP is extreme small sample noise; LAD offense at 4.9 RPG/....
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model calls coin flip (51% MIA), market leans ATL (56% implied). ATL's 32-16 record vs MIA's 22-26 plus superior .789 OPS suggests market is a nota...
Suarez has null stats across all categories—unclear if this is data issue or he hasn't pitched. Without away SP context, can't evaluate moneyline....