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MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
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Model sees CHW at 60% but market implies 48.5%, a 12pp gap. DET offense is brutal (3.0 RPG, .582 OPS) but CHW hasn't dominated (29-27). Pitcher sta...
Market at SEA -145 (58.1% implied) vs model 60.2% is tight. T-Mobile (PF 0.855) strongly favors under; model's 8.85 total is 1.85 runs above market...
Model has MIN at 58.6% but market implies PIT 55.6%. Bradley's 18.69 K/9 in 4.1 IP is meaningless tiny sample. Model likely overweighting that nois...
Model has CHC 58.6%, market 56.0% — close alignment. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5.0 IP is extremely small sample (likely 1-2 bad outings). Pallante miss...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
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Market at SEA -145 (58.1% implied) vs model 60.2% is tight. T-Mobile (PF 0.855) strongly favors under; model's 8.85 total is 1.85 runs above market 7.0. Kirby (1.50 ER...
Model has MIN at 58.6% but market implies PIT 55.6%. Bradley's 18.69 K/9 in 4.1 IP is meaningless tiny sample. Model likely overweighting that noise. PIT offense (.710...
Model sees CHW at 60% but market implies 48.5%, a 12pp gap. DET offense is brutal (3.0 RPG, .582 OPS) but CHW hasn't dominated (29-27). Pitcher stats missing makes thi...
Model has OAK at 53.5% vs market 42%, an 11.5pp gap flagged as large disagreement. NYY has far superior offense (4.9 RPG, .692 OPS vs 3.6/.512) and better record (34-2...
Model has CHC 58.6%, market 56.0% — close alignment. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5.0 IP is extremely small sample (likely 1-2 bad outings). Pallante missing all rate stats r...
Model predicts 9.08 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.58-run gap triggers the total_far_from_market flag. Both pitchers show early-season struggles (Peralta 7.2 ERA, Meyer 5.4 ER...
Market has TBR at 62.3% vs model's 53.6%—an 8.7pp gap flagged as large disagreement. Model sees this closer to coin flip while market is confident. LAA's .860 OPS is e...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model sees CHW at 60% but market implies 48.5%, a 12pp gap. DET offense is brutal (3.0 RPG, .582 OPS) but CHW hasn't dominated (29-27). Pitcher sta...
Market at SEA -145 (58.1% implied) vs model 60.2% is tight. T-Mobile (PF 0.855) strongly favors under; model's 8.85 total is 1.85 runs above market...
Model has MIN at 58.6% but market implies PIT 55.6%. Bradley's 18.69 K/9 in 4.1 IP is meaningless tiny sample. Model likely overweighting that nois...
Model has CHC 58.6%, market 56.0% — close alignment. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5.0 IP is extremely small sample (likely 1-2 bad outings). Pallante miss...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Kolek has no recorded IP/ERA/K9/WHIP despite 10 starts listed — clear data quality issue. Gore's 5.1 IP across 10 starts averages 0.5 IP per outing...
Model predicts 9.08 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.58-run gap triggers the total_far_from_market flag. Both pitchers show early-season struggles (Peralta 7...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Market has TBR at 62.3% vs model's 53.6%—an 8.7pp gap flagged as large disagreement. Model sees this closer to coin flip while market is confident....
Model has OAK at 53.5% vs market 42%, an 11.5pp gap flagged as large disagreement. NYY has far superior offense (4.9 RPG, .692 OPS vs 3.6/.512) and...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Missing all pitcher stats (ERA, WHIP, K/9, IP) and park factor creates unacceptable uncertainty for a side pick. Model and market both see coin fli...