MLB moneyline board.

Bibee (4.01 ERA, 1.15 WHIP over 150.1 IP) is the clear pitching comparison over Hughes (6.69 ERA, 1.38 WHIP in 37.2 IP), and market agrees at -138. Model's 9.10 total...

Model at 56.9% is below the market's 62% on MIL, and here I side with the market: Milwaukee's 5.7 RPG and .972 OPS dwarf Atlanta's 2.8 RPG, and Henderson (2.70 ERA, 10...

Model 67.9% and market 69.7% converge on LAD, so no real comparison, just a defensible side. Skubal's 2.85 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 10.69 K/9 over 113.7 IP is a clear step u...

Model has WSN at 50.5% against a market implying 62.3% home, a large gap I can't justify. Perez (3.23 ERA, 9.76 K/9, 1.11 WHIP) is clearly ahead of Irvin (5.80 ERA, 1....

Model's 61% on BAL is 15 points above the market's 45.6% implied, and the mismatch flag fires: Tampa is 76-52 with a .802 OPS versus Baltimore's 62-67 and .662. McClan...

Painter's 6.43 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 85.1 IP is a genuine liability, yet PHI is priced -146; STL's 0.812 OPS and 5.6 RPG travel well into a 1.148 park. But the STL star...

Model and market both land at 51.6% on SEA, so no comparison there. Peterson's 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over 112.1 IP is the one real lever for Seattle, but Kade Anderso...