MLB moneyline board.

MIL at 92-56 with 7.6 RPG and .972 OPS is far ahead of CIN (69-78, 4.1 RPG, .629 OPS), and Singer's 5.03 ERA/1.47 WHIP does little to close that gap. Model's 61.1% loo...

Model has OAK at 52.5% against a market implying 39.1% — a 13-point gap I can't justify. Woo (4.03 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 156.1 IP) is clearly ahead of Jump (5.12 ERA, 1.49 W...

Market implies 56.3% for Arizona while the model has Texas at 54.1% — a ~10-point gap I'd resolve toward the market. Pfaadt (3.53 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) is the clearly better...

STL's 6.5 RPG and .812 OPS dwarf Chicago's 3.3 RPG/.729 OPS, and they're home, yet the market prices this near pick'em (-107) while the model sits at 61%. That 10-poin...

Model takes PIT despite the worse record (74-74 vs 82-66) and lower scoring (4.2 vs 5.0 RPG), which is the classic mismatch red flag. Holmes' 2.83 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at...

Model (61.1%) and market (61.3%) agree on Detroit, so there is no comparison to fade. DET's 5.0 RPG at home against Gordon's 5.40 ERA and 1.43 WHIP is the cleanest ang...

Market is essentially pick'em (-107/-103) and the model's CLE lean at 54% is thin. Minnesota has the clear offensive comparison (5.1 RPG, .673 OPS vs 4.0 and .600), wh...