Ranked picks with source labels.

Model at 62.9% vs market at 68.4% — meaningful gap favoring BAL value. Schlittler's missing stats raise uncertainty despite 10 starts logged. BAL's...

Away pitcher TBD kills confidence but NYM's .736 OPS vs COL's .531 is decisive. Model at 58.6% vs market 56.4% shows convergence. Extreme Coors par...

Away pitcher Davis Martin has null stats across all categories despite 10 starts flagged as 'full' data—a critical data integrity issue. Model proj...

Model has STL 57.5% vs market 48%. Chad Patrick shows 2.08 ERA in just 4.1 IP—extreme small sample noise. Kyle Leahy's missing season stats are a m...

Model has HOU at 57.5% vs market's 35.5% — a 22-point gap, the largest disagreement type. Okert has 2.2 IP across 4 'starts' (opener role), not a t...

Model has SEA 60.2% vs market 57.5%, but ATL is 25-10 with 6.2 RPG while SEA is 16-19 at 4.7 RPG. Ritchie data missing is a major blind spot. T-Mob...

Away pitcher is TBD and Martinez has null stats despite 10 starts. Structural data gaps make both moneyline and total unreadable. Model disagrees w...

Away pitcher has zero resolved stats (fallback data). Model has DET at 60% vs market's 68%; model total is 8.89 vs market 7.0—a 1.89 run gap. Witho...

Model likes CIN at 57% but market has CHC at 65% implied. Petty data is fallback quality which undermines CIN case. Model total of 9.13 is 2.4 runs...