Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-110
NYMNew York Mets-107
Pick Probability63%NYM moneyline
HOUHunter BrownConfirmed
NYMChristian ScottConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 9 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has NYM at 62.7% against a market implying 46.2% — a 16-point gap on the team with the worse record (60-74 vs 67-67) and worse scoring rate (...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+133
NYYNew York Yankees-156
Pick Probability58%NYY moneyline
BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed
NYYCam SchlittlerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
NYY / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (57.7%) and market (59%) agree on NYY, and the pitching comparison is clear: Schlittler at 2.16 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 10.99 K/9 versus Sandoval's 4...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+127
TORToronto Blue Jays-148
Pick Probability57%TOR moneyline
SEAEmerson HancockConfirmed
TORDylan CeaseConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
TOR / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market implies 62.1% on Toronto vs the model's 57.0%; with Cease at a 2.37 ERA, 13.03 K/9 and 1.06 WHIP over 144.1 IP against an unnamed Seattle st...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+114
MINMinnesota Twins-132
Pick Probability57%MIN moneyline
CHWLuis CastilloConfirmed
MINDean KremerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-115
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-102
Pick Probability57%STL moneyline
PITJared JonesConfirmed
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model at 57% vs market's 48.4% on STL is a large gap. STL's offense is clearly better (.812 OPS, 4.7 RPG vs .710, 3.2), but the market is pricing t...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-120
LAALos Angeles Angels+104
Pick Probability54%LAA moneyline
PHIAndrew PainterConfirmed
LAAReid DetmersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 54.4% on LAA is over 10 points above the market's 44.2%, and it is backing the worse team (52-82, 4.1 RPG) against a 74-60 club scoring 5.7...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+166
CHCChicago Cubs-196
Pick Probability54%CHC moneyline
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
CHCDavid PetersonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-120
SFGSan Francisco Giants+101
Pick Probability54%SFG moneyline
ARIKohl DrakeConfirmed
SFGBlade TidwellConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
ARI / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has SFG at 53.8% vs market's 44.7% implied, a 9-point gap in favor of the team with the worse record (55-79 vs 71-64) and lower OPS (.388 vs...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-188
DETDetroit Tigers+157
Pick Probability53%LAD moneyline
LADTarik SkubalConfirmed
DETDrew AndersonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+110
TBRTampa Bay Rays-128
Pick Probability53%SDP moneyline
SDPCasey MizeConfirmed
TBRShane McClanahanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 53.5% on SDP fights both the market (implied 55% home) and the record gap (TBR 79-54 vs SDP 72-62), with TBR's .802 OPS well ahead of San D...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+117
CLECleveland Guardians-137
Pick Probability51%CLE moneyline
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
CLETanner BibeeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles-113
OAKOakland Athletics-105
Pick Probability51%OAK moneyline
BALBrandon YoungConfirmed
OAKJacob LopezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins-142
WSNWashington Nationals+120
Pick Probability51%MIA moneyline
MIAEury PérezConfirmed
WSNJackson KentConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+189
ATLAtlanta Braves-225
Pick Probability51%COL moneyline
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model lands on COL at 50.6% against a market implying 67.2% home, a large gap I would not chase: ATL is 79-55 versus 52-82 and Holmes (3.64 ERA, 1....

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+180
MILMilwaukee Brewers-213
Pick Probability51%TEX moneyline
TEXCody BradfordConfirmed
MILLogan HendersonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
MIL / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's TEX lean is an offense-defense mismatch: Texas is 66-68 with 3.8 RPG and .698 OPS against a Milwaukee club at 83-51, 6.6 RPG, .972 OPS. Hen...

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