Ranked picks with source labels.

Model (66.6%) and market (63.9%) agree on TEX; Gore's 9.94 K/9 over 149.1 IP is a real comparison over Basso, who has only 28 IP across 8 starts. T...

Model (62.5%) and market (60%) agree on PIT, so the side is defensible on Skenes (10.86 K/9, 1.12 WHIP) versus a Webb start that is similarly effec...

Model at 60.9% for MIN vs market's 47.8% is a 13-point gap with no clear justification. Melton's 1.86 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 97 IP is the more esta...

Model takes NYM (62-76, .736 OPS, 3.4 RPG) over TBR (82-55, .802 OPS) against the market's -125 home price, a ~10-point implied gap with no clear s...