MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-21 / 14 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-21
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+136
TEXTexas Rangers-164
Pick Probability58%TEX moneyline
SDPWandy PeraltaConfirmed
TEXNathan EovaldiConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
TEX / pass confidence / Rank 7

SDP pitcher is TBD fallback data (77.7 IP, 4.17 ERA aggregate). Model total 9.47 vs market 7.5 is a 2-run gap—largest structural miss flag. Eovaldi...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+110
OAKOakland Athletics-132
Pick Probability58%OAK moneyline
LAAReid DetmersConfirmed
OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes OAK 58% vs market 54%, but Detmers (3.68 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in 88 IP) is the sharper starter against Perkins (6.15 ERA in 41 IP). LAA offen...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-128
KCRKansas City Royals+110
Pick Probability57%STL moneyline
STLDustin MayConfirmed
KCRStephen KolekConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has STL 56.8%, market implies 53.1% — modest comparison. Model total 10.01 vs market 8.5 is a 1.5-run gap triggering the flag. Kauffman PF 1....

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants-143
MIAMiami Marlins+120
Pick Probability55%MIA moneyline
SFGLogan WebbConfirmed
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has MIA 55.5% but market implies only 43% — a 12.5pp gap flags structural miss. Webb (3.46 ERA, 75 IP) vs Gusto (7.24 ERA, 14 IP) is a mismat...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+112
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-134
Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline
MINMike ParedesConfirmed
ARIJose CabreraConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-21

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

14 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+136
TEXTexas Rangers-164
Pick Probability58%TEX moneyline
SDPWandy PeraltaConfirmed
TEXNathan EovaldiConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
TEX / pass confidence / Rank 7

SDP pitcher is TBD fallback data (77.7 IP, 4.17 ERA aggregate). Model total 9.47 vs market 7.5 is a 2-run gap—largest structural miss flag. Eovaldi...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+110
OAKOakland Athletics-132
Pick Probability58%OAK moneyline
LAAReid DetmersConfirmed
OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes OAK 58% vs market 54%, but Detmers (3.68 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in 88 IP) is the sharper starter against Perkins (6.15 ERA in 41 IP). LAA offen...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-128
KCRKansas City Royals+110
Pick Probability57%STL moneyline
STLDustin MayConfirmed
KCRStephen KolekConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has STL 56.8%, market implies 53.1% — modest comparison. Model total 10.01 vs market 8.5 is a 1.5-run gap triggering the flag. Kauffman PF 1....

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants-143
MIAMiami Marlins+120
Pick Probability55%MIA moneyline
SFGLogan WebbConfirmed
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has MIA 55.5% but market implies only 43% — a 12.5pp gap flags structural miss. Webb (3.46 ERA, 75 IP) vs Gusto (7.24 ERA, 14 IP) is a mismat...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+112
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-134
Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline
MINMike ParedesConfirmed
ARIJose CabreraConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+109
SEASeattle Mariners-130
Pick Probability55%SEA moneyline
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total6.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market and model align on SEA ~55-56%. Gilbert (3.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP in 86.7 IP) vs Tolle (2.93 ERA in 58.3 IP) qualifies as ace matchup. T-Mobile's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+194
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-235
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
BALBrandon YoungConfirmed
LADEmmet SheehanConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+113
HOUHouston Astros-133
Pick Probability54%HOU moneyline
CLESlade CecconiConfirmed
HOUKai-Wei TengConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+112
TBRTampa Bay Rays-134
Pick Probability51%TBR moneyline
WSNAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+155
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-185
Pick Probability51%PHI moneyline
NYMDavid PetersonConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds-104
NYYNew York Yankees-112
Pick Probability51%CIN moneyline
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
NYYElmer RodríguezConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
CIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers+100
ATLAtlanta Braves-119
Pick Probability51%MIL moneyline
MILRobert GasserConfirmed
ATLBryce ElderConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
MIL / pass confidence / Rank 6

Model has MIL 51.5%, market has ATL 52.4% — essentially a coinflip. Elder's 3.15 ERA over 88.7 IP is legitimate, but Gasser's 4.88 in only 24 IP is...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+100
DETDetroit Tigers-120
Pick Probability51%CHW moneyline
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
DETKeider MonteroConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total10.2
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHW / pass confidence / Rank 5

Model coin flip (51.5% CHW) exactly matches market (51.4% DET). Both pitchers decent: Martin 3.31 ERA / 9.15 K9, Montero 3.67 ERA / 1.02 WHIP in ~7...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-147
COLColorado Rockies+124
Pick Probability51%PIT moneyline
PITJared JonesConfirmed
COLMichael LorenzenConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total11.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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