PHI at MIL

Market heavily favors MIL at 68.9% vs model's 65.2%. Misiorowski's 1.50 ERA over 78 IP is elite but his SHAP features oddly include 'home_rolling_s...

Model likes DET at 58.6% vs market's 46.7% — a 12-point gap. Top SHAP feature is away launch angle driving both side and total. Flaherty's 5.31 ERA...

Model has ATL at 55.2% but market has NYM favored at 53.9% — flags as large disagreement. Both teams score 4.3 RPG; ATL's comparison is .789 vs .73...

Rodriguez (2.52 ERA, 78.7 IP) is a true sample with measurable skill. Lodolo (5.51 ERA, 32.7 IP) is struggling. Market sees a coinflip; model leans...

Model has CHC at 55.2%, market at 49.1% (away +100). Small comparison to Cubs but not actionable. SFG's 5.7 RPG vs 0.388 OPS is extreme (likely typ...

Model favors KCR 53.5% but market has HOU slight favorite at 52.4%. HOU's .695 OPS vs KCR's .518 is a meaningful comparison overlooked by model's s...

Model sees a coin flip (50.6% TOR) matching market (-107/-101). TOR pitcher is TBD fallback with 10.23 ERA placeholder stats; real pitcher unknown....

Market strongly favors OAK (63.6% implied) while model sees coin flip (50.6%). Away pitcher is TBD/fallback with 5.20 ERA baseline. Model's 9.04 to...