Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+230
BOSBoston Red Sox-285
Pick Probability63%BOS moneyline
OAKGage JumpConfirmed
BOSJake BennettConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Market (69.4%) is higher on BOS than the model (62.7%), and the underlying gap supports the market: Boston 7.5 RPG/.736 OPS vs Oakland 2.9 RPG/.512...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-159
KCRKansas City Royals+133
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
CHCClay HolmesConfirmed
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+138
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-159
Pick Probability56%STL moneyline
COLKyle FreelandConfirmed
STLMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds-136
WSNWashington Nationals+115
Pick Probability54%WSN moneyline
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
WSNAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
CIN / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 53.6% on WSN sits ~10 points above market's 43.4%, and the pitching comparison points the other way: Burns at 2.35 ERA, 10.39 K/9, 1.10 WHI...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-149
NYYNew York Yankees+125
Pick Probability53%NYY moneyline
ATLChris SaleConfirmed
NYYGerrit ColeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Fading the model here: it takes NYY at 53% while market implies 43%, despite NYY scoring 2.8 RPG with a .692 OPS against Sale (2.08 ERA, 11.0 K/9,...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+133
MIAMiami Marlins-157
Pick Probability53%MIA moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
MIASandy AlcantaraConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+151
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-175
Pick Probability53%PHI moneyline
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+106
SDPSan Diego Padres-125
Pick Probability53%SDP moneyline
HOUPeter LambertConfirmed
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 9 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model and market both sit near coin-flip (53.1% vs 52.6% implied), so there's no side comparison from the model. The offensive gap favors Houston:...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+102
PITPittsburgh Pirates-120
Pick Probability52%NYM moneyline
NYMRobert StockConfirmed
PITBubba ChandlerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has NYM at 52.4% while the market implies 56% for PIT, an 8+ point gap I side with the market on. Stock's 5.0 IP across 4 starts signals an o...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+123
MILMilwaukee Brewers-147
Pick Probability52%MIN moneyline
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
MILRobert GasserConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has MIN at 52.4% against a market implying 58.5% home — an 11-point gap with the model taking the worse team (58-59 vs 72-44) and the worse o...

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers-115
SFGSan Francisco Giants+100
Pick Probability52%DET moneyline
DETJackson JobeConfirmed
SFGLanden RouppConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-130
CHWChicago White Sox+110
Pick Probability52%CLE moneyline
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
CHWAnthony KayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-200
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+167
Pick Probability52%LAD moneyline
LADYoshinobu YamamotoConfirmed
ARIBrandon PfaadtConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market prices LAD near 63% while the model sits at 52.4% — a large gap I resolve toward the market. Yamamoto's 0.88 WHIP and 2.76 ERA over 133.7 IP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+115
SEASeattle Mariners-137
Pick Probability52%TBR moneyline
TBRCasey LeguminaConfirmed
SEAGeorge KirbyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.83-run total is nearly two runs above the 7.0 market line despite T-Mobile's 0.855 park factor and two starters at 3.76 and 3.63 ERA — a...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+130
TEXTexas Rangers-152
Pick Probability52%BAL moneyline
BALKyle BradishConfirmed
TEXJacob deGromConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TEX / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 52% on BAL leans on Statcast launch-angle noise and clashes with the market's 58.3% home. deGrom's 10.69 K/9 and 1.14 WHIP outclass Bradish...

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