MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-09 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-09

#1MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:05 PM MDT

COLColorado Rockies+202

NYYNew York Yankees-250

Pick Probability65%NYY moneyline

COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed

NYYWill WarrenConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.2

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#2MLBMoneylineSep 9, 4:40 PM MDT

HOUHouston Astros+128

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-154

Pick Probability61%PHI moneyline

HOUHunter BrownConfirmed

PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.2

Margin Context1.1

PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#3MLBMoneylineSep 9, 4:45 PM MDT

LAALos Angeles Angels+180

BOSBoston Red Sox-220

Pick Probability61%BOS moneyline

LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed

BOSJake BennettConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.0

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.1

BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneylineSep 9, 1:05 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays-162

OAKOakland Athletics+135

Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline

TORBraydon FisherConfirmed

OAKBrady BassoConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context1.1

TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:15 PM MDT

TBRTampa Bay Rays+105

ATLAtlanta Braves-124

Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline

TBRGriffin JaxConfirmed

ATLReynaldo LópezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.4

Margin Context0.9

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-09

Sep 9, 5:40 PM MDTARI at KCRArizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals

AI Analyst PickKCRstandard confidence

Agrees with modelARI / 55%Model pick probability

Starter comparison favors KCR: Lynch's 3.51 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 66.7 IP against Gallen's 6.34 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 98 IP. Market is essentially pick'em (-106/-104)...

Sep 9, 2:10 PM MDTWSN at SDPWashington Nationals at San Diego Padres

AI Analyst PickSDPstandard confidence

Agrees with modelSDP / 58%Model pick probability

Model (61.1%) and market (62.8%) agree on San Diego, so the side is uncontroversial: Buehler's 4.56 ERA over 136 IP is more reliable than Kent's 5.55 ERA/1.68 WHIP in...

Sep 9, 1:45 PM MDTSTL at SFGSt. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants

AI Analyst PickSTLstandard confidence

Analyst disagrees with base modelSTL / 52%Model pick probability

Model has SFG at 53.7% against a market implying 45.5%, an 8pt gap I can't justify: STL has the better record (72-74 vs 61-85) and Pallante's 3.51 ERA over 141 IP is m...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:05 PM MDT

COLColorado Rockies+202

NYYNew York Yankees-250

Pick Probability65%NYY moneyline

COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed

NYYWill WarrenConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.2

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 4:40 PM MDT

HOUHouston Astros+128

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-154

Pick Probability61%PHI moneyline

HOUHunter BrownConfirmed

PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.2

Margin Context1.1

PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 4:45 PM MDT

LAALos Angeles Angels+180

BOSBoston Red Sox-220

Pick Probability61%BOS moneyline

LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed

BOSJake BennettConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.0

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.1

BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 1:05 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays-162

OAKOakland Athletics+135

Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline

TORBraydon FisherConfirmed

OAKBrady BassoConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context1.1

TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:15 PM MDT

TBRTampa Bay Rays+105

ATLAtlanta Braves-124

Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline

TBRGriffin JaxConfirmed

ATLReynaldo LópezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.4

Margin Context0.9

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 2:10 PM MDT

WSNWashington Nationals+156

SDPSan Diego Padres-190

Pick Probability58%SDP moneyline

WSNJackson KentConfirmed

SDPWalker BuehlerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.5

Margin Context0.7

SDP / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (61.1%) and market (62.8%) agree on San Diego, so the side is uncontroversial: Buehler's 4.56 ERA over 136 IP is more reliable than Kent's 5....

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 4:35 PM MDT

CLECleveland Guardians-120

BALBaltimore Orioles+100

Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline

CLEFoster GriffinConfirmed

BALShane BazConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.8

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:40 PM MDT

CHCChicago Cubs+110

MILMilwaukee Brewers-132

Pick Probability58%MIL moneyline

CHCKevin GausmanConfirmed

MILLogan HendersonConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.6

Margin Context0.7

MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:40 PM MDT

PITPittsburgh Pirates+111

CHWChicago White Sox-132

Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline

PITLake BacharConfirmed

CHWDavis MartinConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total8.6

Margin Context0.7

CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 8:10 PM MDT

CINCincinnati Reds+232

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-285

Pick Probability58%LAD moneyline

CINRhett LowderConfirmed

LADYoshinobu YamamotoConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.4

Margin Context0.7

LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 4:40 PM MDT

NYMNew York Mets+105

MIAMiami Marlins-124

Pick Probability56%MIA moneyline

NYMRobert StockConfirmed

MIAJanson JunkConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context0.3

MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 5:40 PM MDT

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-120

KCRKansas City Royals+100

Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline

ARIZac GallenConfirmed

KCRDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total10.0

Margin Context0.8

KCR / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Starter comparison favors KCR: Lynch's 3.51 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 66.7 IP against Gallen's 6.34 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 98 IP. Market is essentially...

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 11:10 AM MDT

MINMinnesota Twins+106

DETDetroit Tigers-125

Pick Probability54%MIN moneyline

MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed

DETKeider MonteroConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.3

Margin Context0.5

MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 2:10 PM MDT

TEXTexas Rangers+128

SEASeattle Mariners-150

Pick Probability54%TEX moneyline

TEXCody BradfordConfirmed

SEAKade AndersonConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.1

Margin Context0.5

TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 9, 1:45 PM MDT

STLSt. Louis Cardinals-120

SFGSan Francisco Giants+102

Pick Probability52%STL moneyline

STLAndre PallanteConfirmed

SFGBlade TidwellConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.5

Margin Context0.4

STL / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has SFG at 53.7% against a market implying 45.5%, an 8pt gap I can't justify: STL has the better record (72-74 vs 61-85) and Pallante's 3.51...

sharps.gg