MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-06-13 / 30 starters Lines Best price bovada fanduel draftkings betmgm betrivers fanatics
STL at MIN Jun 13, 12:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMatthew Liberatore STL starter / away
Projected K 4.6 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +103 draftkings / U -114 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 48%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 66% over
O 4.5 48% under
O 5.5 32% under
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Connor Prielipp MIN starter / home
Projected K 4.9 Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -115 betmgm / U +114 betrivers 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 53%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 85% under
O 3.5 70% under
O 4.5 53% under
O 5.5 36% under
O 6.5 22% under
O 7.5 13% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
NYY at TOR Jun 13, 1:07 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastCam Schlittler NYY starter / away
Projected K 4.8 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +105 fanatics / U -110 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 35%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 84% over
O 3.5 69% over
O 4.5 51% over
O 5.5 35% over
O 6.5 21% over
O 7.5 12% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Kevin Gausman TOR starter / home
Projected K 5.4 Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +130 fanduel / U -152 betrivers 4 books at this line
Model over 6.5 30%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 89% over
O 3.5 77% over
O 4.5 61% over
O 5.5 44% over
O 6.5 30% over
O 7.5 18% under
O 8.5 10% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
SEA at WSN Jun 13, 2:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastLuis Castillo SEA starter / away Thin data
Projected K 3.1 Actual 4 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 81% over
O 2.5 60% over
O 3.5 38% over
O 4.5 21% under
O 5.5 10% under
O 6.5 5% under
O 7.5 2% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Cade Cavalli WSN starter / home
Projected K 5.7 Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +120 fanduel / U -132 draftkings 5 books at this line
Model over 5.5 50%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 81% over
O 4.5 66% over
O 5.5 50% under
O 6.5 35% under
O 7.5 22% under
O 8.5 13% under
O 9.5 7% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
MIA at PIT Jun 13, 2:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastLake Bachar MIA starter / away
Projected K 2.8 Actual 4 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 76% over
O 2.5 53% over
O 3.5 31% over
O 4.5 16% under
O 5.5 7% under
O 6.5 3% under
O 7.5 1% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Bubba Chandler PIT starter / home
Projected K 4.4 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +105 betmgm / U -118 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 44%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 80% over
O 3.5 63% over
O 4.5 44% over
O 5.5 28% over
O 6.5 16% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
SDP at BAL Jun 13, 2:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastRandy Vásquez SDP starter / away
Projected K 3.9 Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -111 draftkings / U +100 bovada 5 books at this line
Model over 3.5 54%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89% over
O 2.5 74% over
O 3.5 54% over
O 4.5 35% over
O 5.5 20% under
O 6.5 11% under
O 7.5 5% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Trey Gibson BAL starter / home
Projected K 4.0 Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O +128 draftkings / U -135 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 56%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90% over
O 2.5 75% over
O 3.5 56% over
O 4.5 37% over
O 5.5 22% over
O 6.5 12% over
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
ATL at NYM Jun 13, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMartín Pérez ATL starter / away
Projected K 4.0 Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -135 betmgm / U +116 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 57%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90% over
O 2.5 76% over
O 3.5 57% over
O 4.5 38% under
O 5.5 22% under
O 6.5 12% under
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Sean Manaea NYM starter / home
Projected K 4.1 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -132 fanduel / U +108 fanduel 2 books at this line
Model over 4.5 39%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 58% over
O 4.5 39% over
O 5.5 24% over
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
DET at CLE Jun 13, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTarik Skubal DET starter / away
Projected K 5.8 Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +102 betrivers / U -113 draftkings 5 books at this line
Model over 5.5 51%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 92% over
O 3.5 81% over
O 4.5 67% under
O 5.5 51% under
O 6.5 36% under
O 7.5 23% under
O 8.5 14% under
O 9.5 8% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Joey Cantillo CLE starter / home
Projected K 5.1 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -150 fanduel / U +122 fanduel 3 books at this line
Model over 4.5 56%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 87% over
O 3.5 73% over
O 4.5 56% under
O 5.5 40% under
O 6.5 25% under
O 7.5 15% under
O 8.5 8% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
ARI at CIN Jun 13, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMichael Soroka ARI starter / away
Projected K 4.9 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -135 bovada / U +120 draftkings 4 books at this line
Model over 5.5 37%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 86% over
O 3.5 71% over
O 4.5 54% over
O 5.5 37% over
O 6.5 23% over
O 7.5 13% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Rhett Lowder CIN starter / home
Projected K 3.6 Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -105 fanatics / U -105 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 48%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 86% over
O 2.5 68% over
O 3.5 48% over
O 4.5 29% over
O 5.5 16% over
O 6.5 8% under
O 7.5 3% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
LAD at CHW Jun 13, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastYoshinobu Yamamoto LAD starter / away
Projected K 5.7 Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +120 bovada / U -145 fanatics 4 books at this line
Model over 6.5 35%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 81% over
O 4.5 66% over
O 5.5 50% over
O 6.5 35% over
O 7.5 22% under
O 8.5 13% under
O 9.5 7% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Sean Burke CHW starter / home
Projected K 4.5 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -124 draftkings / U +110 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 46%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 81% over
O 3.5 64% over
O 4.5 46% over
O 5.5 30% over
O 6.5 17% under
O 7.5 9% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
TEX at BOS Jun 13, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastJacob deGrom TEX starter / away
Projected K 5.9 Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +122 fanduel / U -145 betmgm 4 books at this line
Model over 6.5 38%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98% over
O 2.5 92% over
O 3.5 83% over
O 4.5 69% over
O 5.5 53% under
O 6.5 38% under
O 7.5 25% under
O 8.5 15% under
O 9.5 9% under
O 10.5 5% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Ranger Suarez BOS starter / home
Projected K 5.2 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -105 draftkings / U -105 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 75% over
O 4.5 59% over
O 5.5 42% over
O 6.5 28% over
O 7.5 17% under
O 8.5 9% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
PHI at MIL Jun 13, 5:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastAaron Nola PHI starter / away
Projected K 5.1 Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -143 draftkings / U +125 bovada 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 57%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 87% over
O 3.5 74% under
O 4.5 57% under
O 5.5 40% under
O 6.5 26% under
O 7.5 15% under
O 8.5 8% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Shane Drohan MIL starter / home
Projected K 4.3 Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -130 fanatics / U +134 fanduel 4 books at this line
Model over 4.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 79% over
O 3.5 61% over
O 4.5 42% over
O 5.5 26% over
O 6.5 15% over
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
HOU at KCR Jun 13, 5:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMike Burrows HOU starter / away
Projected K 4.2 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +130 bovada / U -140 betmgm 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 40%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 59% over
O 4.5 40% over
O 5.5 24% under
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Noah Cameron KCR starter / home
Projected K 4.7 Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -110 fanduel / U +100 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 50%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% under
O 2.5 84% under
O 3.5 68% under
O 4.5 50% under
O 5.5 34% under
O 6.5 21% under
O 7.5 11% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
CHC at SFG Jun 13, 8:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastBen Brown CHC starter / away
Projected K 4.1 Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -118 fanduel / U -103 draftkings 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 39%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 76% over
O 3.5 57% under
O 4.5 39% under
O 5.5 23% under
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Trevor McDonald SFG starter / home
Projected K 5.0 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +100 fanduel / U -114 draftkings 4 books at this line
Model over 4.5 54%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 86% over
O 3.5 72% over
O 4.5 54% under
O 5.5 38% under
O 6.5 24% under
O 7.5 14% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
COL at OAK Jun 13, 8:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastKyle Freeland COL starter / away
Projected K 4.4 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +125 draftkings / U -135 bovada 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 44%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 80% over
O 3.5 62% over
O 4.5 44% under
O 5.5 28% under
O 6.5 16% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Joey Estes OAK starter / home
Projected K 3.1 Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O +122 draftkings / U -130 fanduel 5 books at this line
Model over 3.5 37%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 81% over
O 2.5 59% over
O 3.5 37% over
O 4.5 21% under
O 5.5 10% under
O 6.5 4% under
O 7.5 2% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
TBR at LAA Jun 13, 8:07 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastGriffin Jax TBR starter / away
Projected K 3.6 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -165 bovada / U +135 betmgm 3 books at this line
Model over 4.5 30%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 87% over
O 2.5 70% over
O 3.5 49% over
O 4.5 30% over
O 5.5 17% under
O 6.5 8% under
O 7.5 4% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
José Soriano LAA starter / home
Projected K 5.7 Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -102 draftkings / U -110 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 49%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 80% over
O 4.5 65% over
O 5.5 49% under
O 6.5 34% under
O 7.5 22% under
O 8.5 13% under
O 9.5 7% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.