MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-09-09 / 20 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Zebby Matthews MIN starter / away
Projected K 4.6
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94%
O 2.5 82%
O 3.5 66%
O 4.5 48%
O 5.5 31%
O 6.5 19%
O 7.5 10%
O 8.5 5%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Keider Montero DET starter / home
Projected K 3.7
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88%
O 2.5 71%
O 3.5 50%
O 4.5 32%
O 5.5 18%
O 6.5 9%
O 7.5 4%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Blade Tidwell SFG starter / home
Projected K 4.0
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90%
O 2.5 76%
O 3.5 57%
O 4.5 38%
O 5.5 23%
O 6.5 12%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jackson Kent WSN starter / away
Projected K 4.1
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91%
O 2.5 76%
O 3.5 58%
O 4.5 39%
O 5.5 23%
O 6.5 13%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Foster Griffin CLE starter / away
Projected K 4.6
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93%
O 2.5 82%
O 3.5 66%
O 4.5 47%
O 5.5 31%
O 6.5 18%
O 7.5 10%
O 8.5 5%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane Baz BAL starter / home
Projected K 5.0
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 86%
O 3.5 72%
O 4.5 55%
O 5.5 38%
O 6.5 24%
O 7.5 14%
O 8.5 7%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Hunter Brown HOU starter / away
Projected K 5.3
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 89%
O 3.5 76%
O 4.5 60%
O 5.5 43%
O 6.5 29%
O 7.5 18%
O 8.5 10%
O 9.5 5%
O 10.5 3%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Cristopher Sánchez PHI starter / home
Projected K 6.5
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 95%
O 3.5 88%
O 4.5 76%
O 5.5 62%
O 6.5 47%
O 7.5 33%
O 8.5 22%
O 9.5 14%
O 10.5 8%
O 11.5 4%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Janson Junk MIA starter / home
Projected K 3.5
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 85%
O 2.5 66%
O 3.5 45%
O 4.5 27%
O 5.5 14%
O 6.5 7%
O 7.5 3%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ryan Johnson LAA starter / away
Projected K 3.7
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88%
O 2.5 71%
O 3.5 51%
O 4.5 32%
O 5.5 18%
O 6.5 9%
O 7.5 4%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jake Bennett BOS starter / home
Projected K 5.1
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 87%
O 3.5 73%
O 4.5 56%
O 5.5 40%
O 6.5 25%
O 7.5 15%
O 8.5 8%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Tomoyuki Sugano COL starter / away
Projected K 3.9
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89%
O 2.5 74%
O 3.5 54%
O 4.5 35%
O 5.5 21%
O 6.5 11%
O 7.5 5%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Will Warren NYY starter / home
Projected K 4.7
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94%
O 2.5 84%
O 3.5 68%
O 4.5 50%
O 5.5 33%
O 6.5 20%
O 7.5 11%
O 8.5 6%
O 9.5 3%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Griffin Jax TBR starter / away
Projected K 5.2
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 88%
O 3.5 75%
O 4.5 59%
O 5.5 42%
O 6.5 28%
O 7.5 17%
O 8.5 9%
O 9.5 5%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Kevin Gausman CHC starter / away
Projected K 5.9
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98%
O 2.5 92%
O 3.5 83%
O 4.5 69%
O 5.5 53%
O 6.5 38%
O 7.5 25%
O 8.5 15%
O 9.5 9%
O 10.5 5%
O 11.5 2%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Logan Henderson MIL starter / home
Projected K 6.1
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98%
O 2.5 93%
O 3.5 84%
O 4.5 71%
O 5.5 56%
O 6.5 41%
O 7.5 28%
O 8.5 17%
O 9.5 10%
O 10.5 6%
O 11.5 3%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Daniel Lynch IV KCR starter / home
Projected K 2.7
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 74%
O 2.5 50%
O 3.5 29%
O 4.5 14%
O 5.5 6%
O 6.5 2%
O 7.5 1%
O 8.5 0%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Davis Martin CHW starter / home
Projected K 3.4
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 85%
O 2.5 66%
O 3.5 44%
O 4.5 26%
O 5.5 14%
O 6.5 7%
O 7.5 3%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Rhett Lowder CIN starter / away
Projected K 3.8
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89%
O 2.5 73%
O 3.5 53%
O 4.5 34%
O 5.5 20%
O 6.5 10%
O 7.5 5%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD starter / home
Projected K 7.3
Market line · pregame N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 97%
O 3.5 92%
O 4.5 84%
O 5.5 72%
O 6.5 58%
O 7.5 44%
O 8.5 32%
O 9.5 21%
O 10.5 13%
O 11.5 8%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.